关键词: 战略环境评价, 不确定性, 管理模式

Abstract:

Undoubtly Strategic Environmental Assessment(SEA)currently is the front topic in the environmental assessment;however,the uncertainty exists in the area of SEA in a large scale.And as a result,a large number of obstacles and hindrances emerge from the existence of uncertainty.On the foundation of the introduction of uncertainty for SEA,an effective and efficient framework for SEA based on uncertainty analysis was introduced in this paper.The framework for replying to the uncertainty of SEA from management aspects includes SEA early involvement in the planning period,interactive of work procedure,integration of strategy designing with SEA,followup evaluation.Through the implementation of this management framework the following problems have been solved:how to confront uncertainty of SEA and reduce it,as a result,it could enhance the evaluation of effectiveness of SEA which meets the need of SEA.The framework was then employed to assess the regional development strategy for Chengnan New Zone in Jintan City,China.The result indicated that Planning Environmental Impact Assessment (PEIA) early involvement and integrating urban planning with its Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) can consider the elements of uncertainty in the planning and environmental factors in a timely and systematical manner at the beginning of planning period. Furthermore,it could provide the establishment 〖JP2〗and implementation of the future planning more scientific and objective environmental protection〖JP〗 measures and policy proposals could be put forword,which were acceptable by the planning agency.In other words,the framework was quite feasible and practical for the comprehensive environmental assessment of development plan.

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