长江流域资源与环境 >> 2009, Vol. 18 >> Issue (8): 693-.

• 区域可持续发展 •    下一篇

湖北省经济发展与耕地资源变化的关系

纪昌品| 欧名豪   

  1. 南京农业大学公共管理学院|江苏 南京 210095
  • 出版日期:2009-08-20

ON THE CORRELATION AMONG CULTIVATED LAND RESOURCE CHANGE AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN HUBEI PROVINCE

JI Changpin| OU Minghao   

  1. College of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095|China
  • Online:2009-08-20

摘要:

近20年来,湖北省在经济快速发展的同时,伴随着耕地面积的快速减少,这对我国粮食安全战略产生了一定隐患。选择GDP、全社会固定资产投资总额、城市化水平与耕地面积作为主要分析指标,应用对比分析与最小二乘法分析了1990~2007年湖北省经济发展与耕地面积变化的关系,其能够解释耕地资源占有量的9298%的变化。研究结果表明:湖北省近20年的经济发展与耕地面积变化呈负相关关系,经济增长是耕地面积减少的主要原因,但随着经济发展水平上升和土地集约利用水平提高,单位经济增长付出的土地代价会逐渐下降;同时经济发达地区比经济欠发达地区耕地流失严重,平原地区比丘陵地区耕地减少量大。研究结果可以为湖北省在今后经济发展过程中,如何合理利用土地和保护有限的耕地资源提供一定的科学依据,为其他省份进一步研究经济发展中的耕地变化提供借鉴。

关键词: GDP/ 固定资产投资/ 城市化/ 耕地资源

Abstract:

In recent 20 years,cultivated land area is decreasing quickly along with fast economic development in Hubei Province,which will cause potential effect to food security strategy of China.Gross domestic product,total investment of fixed assets,urbanization level and cultivated land area are selected as the four major factors for analysis in this paper.The correlations of cultivated land area decrease and economic development in Hubei Province from 1990 to 2007 were discussed in details as the major subject by contrast analysis and least squares approach.The study shows a negative correlation between economic growth and the available cultivated land,and cultivated land area decrease was impacted mostly by the economic development in recent 20 years in Hubei Province.Change of 9298% in cultivated land resource occupied can be illustrated because of the growth of gross domestic product,total investment of fixed assets and urbanization level.But along with economic growth and level improvement of intensive land use,unit land cost of economic growth will show a downward trend.In addition,cultivated land area decrease was higher in developed area and plain area than in underdeveloped area and upland area.So in the future,it should be emphasized more to use land intensively by scientific planning and protect high quality cultivated land by economic measure and benefit compensation.The analytical results and conclusions of this paper will not only provide scientific basis for the rational use and effective protection of cultivated land in Hubei Province,but also provide an important reference for further study on cultivated land resources changed in other regions of China during economic development.

Key words: GDP/fixed assets investment/urbanization/cultivated land resource 

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