长江流域资源与环境 >> 2018, Vol. 27 >> Issue (07): 1355-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201807005

• 区域可持续发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

水质感知视角下水库移民满意度分析——基于有序逻辑回归的实证研究

刘钢,刘坤琳,汪玮茜,赵爽   

  1. (1. 河海大学管理科学研究所,江苏 南京211100;2. 沿海开发与保护协调创新中心,江苏 南京210098;3. 浙江广播电视大学教学中心,浙江 杭州 310030)
  • 出版日期:2018-07-20 发布日期:2018-11-09

Analysis of Immigrants’ Satisfaction Degree in Water Quality#br# —— Empirical Research of Ordinal Logistic Regression

LIU Gang1,3, LIU  Kunlin1,WANG Weiqian1,ZHAO  Shuang3   

  1. (1. ManagemenT Science Institute of Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;2. Coastal Development and Protection Coordination Innovation Center, Nanjing 219800,China;3. Zhejiang Radio and Television University Teaching Center,Hangzhou 310030, China
  • Online:2018-07-20 Published:2018-11-09

摘要: 针对库区移民的水质满意度问题,应用有序逻辑回归分析方法,基于满意度感知理论,构建了库区移民水质感知有序逻辑回归模型,以浯溪口水利枢纽工程移民情况开展实证研究。研究结果表明:(1)最高教育水平、水源、庄稼种类、日常污水去向、周期性淹没意向等要素对移民水质感知具有显著影响;(2) 上游移民相较于中下游移民对于未来水质政策更乐观;(3)随着教育水平提高,移民对未来预期更加理性;(4) 日常污水去向要素对移民的水质感知存在空间异质影响,使用明渠的群众更倾向于认为水质将会变好;(5) 移民生活用水来源获取越难,对水质变化感知越差;(6)种植主粮作物的移民,对未来的水质预期更好。推动农业供给侧结构性改革,推进农业种植结构优化,能够提升移民满意度

Abstract: Focus on the problem of water quality satisfaction of reservoir immigrants, this paper applies the method of orderly logistic regression analysis to construct an orderly logistic regression model of water quality perception of reservoir area based on the theory of satisfaction perception, and carries out an empirical study on the resettlement of WUXIKOU Watercontrol Project. The results show: ① The factors such as the highest education level, water source, crop type, daily sewage destination and cyclical inundation intention have significant influence on the water quality perception of immigrants. ② Upstream immigrants are more optimistic about the future water quality policies than immigrants from the middle and lower reaches. ③ As education improves, immigrants are more rational about their future expectations. ④ There is a spatial heterogeneity in the perception of water quality of immigrants by the factors that affect the daily water intake, and people using open channels tend to think that water quality will be better. ⑤ The more difficult it is for the sources of domestic water for immigrants to acquire, the worse their perception of water quality changes. ⑥ Immigrants planting staple crops are expected to have better water quality in the future. Promote Structural Reform of Agricultural Supplyside, Promote Optimization of Agricultural Planting Structure and Improve Immigration Satisfaction

No related articles found!
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
[1] 许有鹏,于瑞宏,马宗伟. 长江中下游洪水灾害成因及洪水特征模拟分析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2005, 14(5): 638 -643 .
[2] 陈宁波,王 辉,江洪泽. 市场经济条件下珍贵可再生资源之灭绝探析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2008, 17(4): 556 .
[3] 刘腊美 龙天渝 李崇明. 三峡水库上游流域非点源颗粒态磷污染负荷研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2009, 18(4): 320 .
[4] 许恒周, 曲福田, 郭忠兴. 市场失灵、非市场价值与农地非农化过度性损失[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2011, 20(1): 68 .
[5] 印士勇, 娄保锋, 刘辉, 兰静, 袁琳, 张琦, 臧小平. 三峡工程蓄水运用期库区干流水质分析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2011, 20(3): 305 .
[6] 温周瑞|张大文|谢平|徐军. 太湖日本沼虾、秀丽白虾现存量的周年动态研究——以梅梁湾、贡湖湾为例[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2011, 20(09): 1035 .
[7] 黄治勇 |牛 奔 |叶丽梅 |姚望玲 |王佑兵. 长江三峡库区极端大雾天气的气候变化特征[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2012, 21(05): 646 .
[8] 王勤,刘广军,张凯,徐小牛. 合肥老城区绿地土壤pH和氮磷的空间变异特征[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2014, 23(08): 1173 .
[9] 岳伟,曹雯,姚筠,王晓东,段春锋,王胜. 安徽省沿江地区棉花生长季气候变化特征及其对产量的影响[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2014, 23(09): 1308 .
[10] 胡振鹏, 葛刚, 刘成林. 鄱阳湖湿地植被退化原因分析及其预警[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2015, 24(03): 381 .