长江流域资源与环境 >> 2021, Vol. 30 >> Issue (11): 2763-2777.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202111019

• 农业发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国粮食主产区农作物生产广义用水经济效率时空演变及影响因素研究

吴兆丹1,2,3,张依1,吴兆磊4,吴奕卓1,梁希瑶5   

  1. (1.河海大学商学院,江苏 常州 213022;2.江苏省“世界水谷”与水生态文明协同创新中心,江苏 南京 211100;
    3.河海大学“一带一路”非洲研究中心,江苏 常州 213022;4.华北水利水电大学电力学院,河南 郑州 450045;
    5.博仁大学创新商务与财会学院,泰国 曼谷 10210)

  • 出版日期:2021-11-20 发布日期:2021-12-14

Study on the Spatio-temporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Economic Efficiency of Generalized Water Use for Crop Production in China′s Major Grain-producing Area

WU Zhao-dan1,2,3, ZHANG Yi1, WU Zhao-lei4, WU Yi-zhuo1, LIANG Xi-yao5   

  1. (1. Business School, Hohai University, Changzhou 213022, China; 2. Jiangsu Provincial Collaborative Innovation 
    Center of World Water Valley and Water Ecological Civilization, Nanjing 211100, China; 
    3. Center of Africa Studies with One Belt One Road, Hohai University, Changzhou 213022, China; 
    4. School of Electric Power, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou 450045, China; 
    5. College of Innovative Business and Accountancy, Dhurakij Pundit University, Bangkok Thailand 10210)

  • Online:2021-11-20 Published:2021-12-14

摘要: 我国粮食主产区农作物生产用水经济效率提升对促进国家粮食安全、水安全以及乡村振兴,推进长江大保护、黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展意义重大。以区域农作物产值与农作物生产蓝水绿水耗用量之和的比值,表示该区域农作物生产广义用水经济效率(EEGWUC),除了稻谷、小麦等5大主粮外还将甘蔗、花生、棉花等12种非主粮作物需水量纳入计算,分析我国粮食主产区13省区2000~2018年该效率时空演变特征;改进补充已有相关研究所涉及影响因素,基于面板数据回归分析主产区EEGWUC的影响因素。结果显示:(1)2000~2018年我国粮食主产区13省区EEGWUC均呈波动上升趋势,区域该效率年均值由1.40元/万t上升至2.67元/万t,其中吉林该效率波动最为明显,湖北对应波动性最弱;主产区EEGWUC省区间差异波动缩小,13省区按该效率年均值由高到低排序为:江苏(2.65元/万t)、湖南、江西;辽宁;河南、四川;吉林、湖北;河北、安徽、内蒙古、黑龙江和山东(1.44元/万t)。(2)单位播种面积化肥施用量、单位面积灌溉用水量、粮食面积占比、耕地灌溉率、节水灌溉指数、单位播种面积水库库容、灌溉水利用系数对主产区EEGWUC呈显著正向影响,而单位播种面积农用塑料薄膜使用量、第一产业固定资产投资占第一产业GDP比重、省区用水结构和农村人口受教育程度则对其呈显著负向影响。继而提出我国粮食主产区应调整农业生产方式、强化水利基础设施的建设运营、加强农业补贴及惠农政策、合理分配水资源并加强教育宣传、完善政府财政支出管理,以提升区域农作物生产广义用水经济效率。

Abstract: Improving the economic efficiency of water use for crop production in China′s major grain-producing areas (MGPA) is greatly significant to promote national food security, water safety, rural revitalization, the Yangtze River protection, as well as the ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin. Regional economic efficiency of generalized water use for crop production (EEGWUC) was represented by the ratio of regional crops output value to the total amount of blue and green water consumption in the crop production. Considering both the five major staple crops like rice and wheat, and 12 non-staple crops such as sugarcane, peanut, cotton, etc., the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of the EEGWUC was analyzed in the 13 provinces of MGPA in China during 2000-2018. With the improvement and supplement of the influencing factors in existing researches, this study analyzed the influencing factors of EEGWUC in MGPA based on the panel data regression method. The results show that: (1) from 2000 to 2018, annual mean of EEGWUC in any of the 13 provinces in China′s MGPA were in fluctuating upward trend, and the annual average of EEGWUC in MGPA increased from 140 CNY/ million tons to 267 CNY/ million tons. This efficiency in Jilin showed the most obvious fluctuation, while that in Hubei embodied the weakest fluctuation. The inter-provincial difference of EEGWUC in MGPA decreased with fluctuation, and the 13 provinces can be ranked by the EEGWUC annual average from the highest to the lowest as follows: Jiangsu (265 CNY/ million tons), Hunan, Jiangxi; Liaoning; Henan, Sichuan; Jilin, Hubei; Hebei, Anhui, Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang and Shandong (144 CNY/million tons). (2) The significantly positive factors of EEGWUC in MGPA included fertilizer application per unit sown area, water use in the irrigation per unit area, the ratio of sown area of food crop to the regional sown area, the ratio of effective irrigation area to regional cultivating area, water-saving irrigation index, reservoir capacity per unit sown area, utilization coefficient of irrigation water. Meanwhile, amount of agricultural plastic film used per unit sown area, proportion of fixed asset investment in the GDP of the primary industry, provincial water use structure and educational level of the rural population, impacted the EEGWUC significantly and negatively. Based on this, suggestions were put forward to improve the EEGWUC in China′s MGPA, such as adjusting the mode of agricultural production, strengthening the construction and operation of water conservancy infrastructure, increasing agricultural subsidies and preferential policies for agriculture, allocate water resources scientifically and strengthening education and publicity, and improving the management of government financial expenditure.

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