长江经济带新型城镇化对旅游业碳排放的门槛效应研究

doi:10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202201002

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 在新型城镇化背景下，研究旅游业的低碳发展模式对中国旅游产业的高质量发展具有重要意义。借助“自下而上”法测算旅游业碳排放量，并以新型城镇化水平为门槛依赖变量，采用面板门槛模型，探究长江经济带新型城镇化对旅游业碳排放影响的阶段性特征以及不同门槛区间新型城镇化对旅游业碳排放影响的异质性特征。结果表明：（1）新型城镇化与旅游业碳排放之间呈显著的“N”型曲线关系。（2）在新型城镇化的引导下，人均旅游消费、旅游产业结构、旅游企业固定资本存量对旅游业碳排放起显著抑制作用；经济发展水平和科技发展水平成为推动旅游业碳排放的重要因素；环境规制有益于区域旅游业碳减排。（3）当新型城镇化水平低于0.319时，旅游业碳排放随新型城镇化水平的提高不断增加；当新型城镇化水平介于0.319与0.568之间时，新型城镇化水平的提升对旅游业碳排放抑制作用较大；当新型城镇化水平超过0.568后，旅游业碳排放随新型城镇化水平的提高又不断增加。因此，地区政府应因地制宜制定新型城镇化发展规划，还应从人均旅游消费，旅游产业结构优化等多个层面促成新型城镇化进程中旅游业碳减排效应发挥。

Abstract: Under the background of new urbanization, it is of great significance to study the low-carbon development for the high-quality development of China’s tourism industry. This study measures the tourism carbon emission with the method of “bottom-up”, and uses the panel threshold model in which new urbanization level is used as the threshold dependent variable to explore the stage characteristics and its heterogeneous characteristics of the impact of the new urbanization on tourism carbon emissions in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. The results show that :(1) There is a significant “N-shaped” curve relationship between the new urbanization and tourism carbon emission. (2) Under the guidance of new urbanization, per capita tourism consumption, tourism industrial structure and fixed capital stock of tourism enterprises have a significant restraining effect on tourism carbon emission. However，the level of regional economic development and technological development has become an important factor to promote the carbon emission of tourism industry. And environmental regulation is beneficial to regional tourism carbon emission reduction. (3) There is a significant interval effect between new urbanization and tourism carbon emissions. The tourism carbon emissions presents upward trend with the improvement of the new urbanization level when the new urbanization is lower than 0.319, while the improvement of the new urbanization level has a great inhibitory effect on the carbon emission of tourism industry when the new urbanization level is between 0.319 and 0.568, then the carbon emission of tourism will continue to increase with the improvement of the new urbanization level when the new urbanization level exceeds 0.568. Therefore, regional governments should formulate new urbanization development plans according to local conditions, and promote the tourism carbon emission reduction effect in the process of new urbanization from various aspects such as per capita tourism consumption level and tourism industry structure optimization.

王兆峰, 汪倩. 长江经济带新型城镇化对旅游业碳排放的门槛效应研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2022, 31(1): 13-24.

WANG Zhao-feng, WANG Qian. Threshold Effect of New Urbanization on Tourism Carbon Emission in Yangtze River Economic Belt[J]. RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN, 2022, 31(1): 13-24.

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