长江流域资源与环境 >> 2024, Vol. 33 >> Issue (11): 2329-2341.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202411002

• 区域可持续发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江经济带新型城镇化与生态韧性:耦合协调、时空格局及动态影响

李燕凌1,2,李民梁1*   

  1. (1.湖南农业大学公共管理与法学学院,湖南 长沙 410128;2.西安交通大学公共政策与管理学院,陕西 西安 710049)
  • 出版日期:2024-11-20 发布日期:2024-11-27

 Coupling Coordination, Spatial-temporal Patterns and Dynamic Impact of the New Urbanization and Ecological Resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

LI Yan-ling1,2, LI Min-liang1   

  1. (1.School of Public Administration and Law, Hunan Agricultural University, Changsha 410128, China;2.School of Public Policy and Administration, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, China)

  • Online:2024-11-20 Published:2024-11-27

摘要: 城镇化过程必然会影响生态环境,推动新型城镇化与生态韧性耦合协调发展至关重要。基于新型城镇化与生态韧性的内涵及耦合协调机理,运用耦合协调模型、空间自相关模型、PVAR模型分析2012~2021年长江经济带新型城镇化与生态韧性耦合协调发展的时空格局及动态影响。结果表明:(1)长江经济带新型城镇化与生态韧性水平持续增长,新型城镇化的弱项在于人口城镇化,生态韧性的短板在于压力韧性;(2)二者的协调发展水平处于初级协调阶段且具有稳定显著的空间正相关性,长三角和云贵地区对应为高—高集聚区和低—低集聚区;(3)新型城镇化与生态韧性主要受到历史水平制约,不存在双向Granger因果关系,动态交互影响不显著。长江经济带应以资源环境承载力为基础,增强新型城镇化弱项,补齐生态韧性发展短板,构建新型城镇化与生态韧性互动协调发展机制。

Abstract: The process of urbanization inevitably affects the ecological environment. It is crucial to promote the coupled and coordinated development of new urbanization and ecological resilience. Based on the connotations and coupling coordination mechanisms of new urbanization and ecological resilience, this paper analyzed the spatial-temporal patterns and dynamic impact of new urbanization and ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2012 to 2021. Coupling coordination model, spatial auto-regression model, and PVAR model were applied. The results indicated that: (1) The levels of new urbanization and ecological resilience continued to grow. The weakness of new urbanization lied in population urbanization, while the shortcoming of ecological resilience lied in stress resilience. (2) The coordination development level was in the primary coordination stage and exhibited a stable and significant positive spatial correlation. High-high agglomeration areas were distributed in the Yangtze River Delta region, low-low agglomeration areas were distributed in the Yunnan-Guizhou region. (3) New urbanization and ecological resilience were mainly constrained by historical levels without bidirectional Granger causality, and their dynamic interaction effect was not significant. The development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt should consider resource and environmental carrying capacity, to enhance the weaknesses of new urbanization and complete the shortboard of ecological resilience. A coordinated interactive development mechanism between new urbanization and ecological resilience should be established.

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