长江流域资源与环境 >> 2024, Vol. 33 >> Issue (11): 2425-2439.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202411009

• 自然资源 • 上一篇    下一篇

快速城镇化地区耕地资源社会价值时空异质特征及其影响因素

范树平1,米逸诗1,朱云涛1,余波平1,奚星伍2,3,夏敏4,程久苗5*   

  1. (1. 安徽农业大学经济管理学院,安徽 合肥 230036;2. 自然资源部江淮耕地资源保护与生态修复重点实验室,
     安徽 合肥 230601;3. 安徽省国土空间规划研究院,安徽 合肥 230601;4. 南京农业大学公共管理学院,
    江苏 南京 210095;5. 安徽师范大学地理与旅游学院,安徽 芜湖 241002)
  • 出版日期:2024-11-20 发布日期:2024-11-27

Characteristics of Spatiotemporal Heterogeneity and Influencing Factors of Social Value of Cultivated Land Resources in Rapid Urbanization Areas

FAN Shu-ping1,MI Yi-shi1,ZHU Yun-tao1,YU Bo-ping1,XI Xing-wu2,3,XIA Min4,CHENG Jiu-miao5   

  1. (1. Department of Economics and Management, Anhui Agricultural University, Hefei 230036, China; 2. Key Laboratory of Jianghuai
     Cultivated Land Resources Protection and Ecological Restoration, Ministry of Natural Resources, Hefei 230601, China; 
    3. Department of Economics and Management, Anhui Agricultural University, Hefei 230601, China;
    4. School of Public Administration, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China;
    5 College of Geography and Tourism, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241002, China)
  • Online:2024-11-20 Published:2024-11-27

摘要: The social value of cultivated land resources is a key element in promoting the paid use of natural resource assets. It also promotes innovation in the concept and model of cultivated land protection, enhances the efficiency of cultivated land protection and responds to the requirements of the time for long-term protection of cultivated lands. Taking the rapidly urbanizing Hefei metropolitan area as the research object, the article constructed an accounting system for the social value of cultivated land resources from the dual dimensions of social security value and social stability value. This study comprehensively employed accounting methods such as income restoration method, alternative market method, and shadow price method, as well as econometric models such as spatial correlation analysis, spatial trend analysis, OLS classic linear regression, and geographically weighted regression to explore the spatiotemporal heterogeneity and the influencing factors of the social value of cultivated land resources. Research showed that:(1)in the past 15 years, the social value of cultivated land resources in the study area increased by 1.22 times, with 10 districts and counties exceeding 4.5 million yuan/hm2. The social value of cultivated land resources showed an overall growing trend, with significant spatial heterogeneity. The gap between the southern regions and the northern regions was particularly significant, indicating a spatial layout characteristic of "high in the south and low in the north". (2)The social value of cultivated land resources showed a significant positive global spatial autocorrelation. The local autocorrelation agglomeration trend had been continuously strengthened over the past 15 years, especially in the high-high agglomeration areas concentrated in the southeast of the Hefei metropolitan area. The spatial trend analysis showed a more flattened trend, especially in the southeast where the social value of cultivated land resources grew rapidly. (3)Based on the results and taking into account the natural dimension, economic dimension and social dimension, this paper theoretically explained the impact mechanism of " nature to solidify the foundation, economy to guarantee, and society to promote and regulate”. This study further demonstrated that the per capita cultivated land area, average elevation, population density, and per capita fixed assets investment played a reverse inhibitory role in general. The agricultural output value played a positive role in the total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, as well as the per capita total retail consumption. This article deepened the research on the social value accounting and its impact of cultivated land resources to a certain extent. Feasible strategies from three aspects were also proposed: strengthening government macroeconomic regulation, highlighting the social value of cultivated land resources, and closely adhering to regional spatiotemporal heterogeneity characteristics, in an attempt to provide theoretical support and practical reference for deepening the social value accounting and an improved protection of cultivated land resources.


关键词: 耕地资源社会价值作为推动自然资源资产有偿使用的关键要素, 亦是促进耕地保护理念模式创新、提升耕地保护效能及响应耕地长效保护的时代要求。以快速城镇化地区合肥都市圈作为研究对象, 从社会保障价值和社会稳定价值的双重维度, 构建耕地资源社会价值核算体系, 综合运用收益还原法、替代市场法和影子价格法等核算方法, 以及空间相关性分析、空间趋势分析、OLS经典线性回归、地理加权回归等计量模型, 探究耕地资源社会价值时空异质特征及其影响因素。研究表明:(1)近15年来合肥都市圈耕地资源社会价值增长达到1.22倍, 超过450万元/hm2的区县达到10个, 耕地资源社会价值时序总体呈现增长趋势, 空间存在显著异质性, 南部区域与北部区域差距尤为明显, 呈现“南高北低”空间布局特征。(2)耕地资源社会价值呈现显著正向全局空间自相关性, 局部自相关集聚态势在15年间不断增强, 尤以高—高集聚区集中于合肥都市圈东南部, 空间趋势分析呈现更加扁平化趋势, 尤以东南部耕地资源社会价值增长较快。(3)基于耕地资源社会价值时空异质特征并综合考虑自然维度、经济维度、社会维度, 从理论层面阐释“自然夯基底、经济作保障、社会促调控”影响机制, 进一步实证得出人均耕地面积、平均高程、人口密度、人均固定资产投资总体起到逆向抑制作用, 农业产值在农林牧渔业总产值中占比、人均消费零售总额起到正向促进作用。文章在一定程度上深化耕地资源社会价值核算及其影响研究, 并从强化政府宏观调控、显化耕地资源社会价值、紧扣区域时空异质特征3个方面提出较为可行策略供给, 为深化耕地资源社会价值核算及其耕地保护提供理论支撑与实践参考。

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