长江流域资源与环境 >> 2012, Vol. 21 >> Issue (01): 105-.

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于STIRPAT模型的甘肃省环境影响分析

焦文献|陈兴鹏   

  1. (兰州大学资源环境学院|甘肃 兰州730040)
  • 出版日期:2012-01-20

ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ANALYSIS OF GANSU PROVINCE BASED ON THE STIRPAT MODEL

JIAO Wenxian, CHEN Xingpeng   

  1. (College of Earth and Environment Sciences,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730040,China)
  • Online:2012-01-20

摘要:

能源短缺已成为全球资源环境的主要问题之一,辩明人类活动各因素对能源消费的影响程度,并据此制定和实施可持续的能源消费政策是当前的研究热点。以STIRPAT模型为分析工具,以甘肃省1991~2009年能源消费总量为环境影响指标,分解了人文因素对环境影响的作用大小。结果表明,富裕程度的提高和城市化进程的推进都能够加剧环境的恶化,而且城市化对环境影响的弹性系数是富裕对环境影响弹性系数的278倍。在观测数据范围内,尚未出现环境Kuznets曲线的拐点,仍然处于曲线的上升段。居民消费结构的多样化有利于降低能源消费,其对环境影响的抑制作用略低于富裕对环境影响的加剧作用。最后讨论了STIRPAT模型的优缺点,并指出甘肃省主要相关因子对环境影响的作用机理还有待更深一步的研究

Abstract:

Energy shortage is becoming one of the major problems of global resource and environment.As many of energy problems are related to human activities,it is necessary to identify the impact of human factors on energy consumption so as to develop and implement sustainable energy policy accordingly.In this paper,taking STIRPAT model as an analysis tool and energy consumption of Gansu Province from 1991 to 2009 as an indicator,the environmental impact of human factors was decomposed.The results showed that the increased wealth and urbanization may increase the promotion of environmental degradation,and environmental impact of urbanization is 278 times of wealth.Another important finding in the empirical study is that there is no evidence of an environmental Kuznets curve for energy consumption within the range of calculated data,and the curve is still ascending.The diversification of consumption structure was conductive to reduce energy consumption,and its impact on the environment was slightly lower than that of increased wealth effect.Finally,the advantage and disadvantage of STIRPAT model was concluded,and we suggested that the mechanism of related factors on environmental impact need to be studied deeply

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