长江流域资源与环境 >> 2014, Vol. 23 >> Issue (s): 165-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj2014Z1023

• 自然灾害 • 上一篇    

长江上游陇南山区连阴雨时空演变气候特征与灾害风险区划

肖志强 ,吴巧娟 ,樊 明 ,赵彦锋   

  1. (1甘肃省陇南市气象局,甘肃 陇南 746000; 2上海市宝山区气象局,上海 201901)
  • 出版日期:2014-11-26

TEMPORALSPATIAL CLIMATIC CHARACTERISTICS AND RISK ZONATION OF CONTINUOUS RAIN DISASTER IN LONGNAN MOUNTAINOUS AREA AT THE UPPER YANGTZE RIVER

XIAO Zhiqiang1, WU Qiaojuan1, FAN Ming1, ZHAO Yanfeng2   

  1. (1Meteorological Bureau of Longnan City of Gansu Province, Longnan 746000, China;
    2Meteorological Office of Baoshan District of Shanghai, Shanghai 201901, China)
  • Online:2014-11-26

摘要:

从陇南市1971~2010年连阴雨资料入手,分析得出:陇南市连阴雨主要集中出现在5~10月,其中,5~7月夏收夏种期和9~10月秋收秋播期连阴雨危害最大,出现频率最高,造成的灾损最为严重。结合人口、GDP、耕地比等资料,利用ArcGIS软件,得到连阴雨灾害危险性图层,再与承灾体易损性评价、灾害的孕灾背景进行叠加、合并以及等级划分操作,最后得到连阴雨灾害的风险评估及其区划。结果表明:康县、两当南部与武都、文县高寒阴湿区连阴雨危险性等级最高,为连阴雨高风险区,礼县、宕昌及白龙江、白水江、西汉水流域低海拔区连阴雨危险性等级最低,为连阴雨低风险区。研究结果对指导长江上游科学规划抗洪防涝工作,预防地质灾害和水土流失发生,保护生态环境,特别是合理作物布局,巧用天时,周密安排3夏和3秋农业生产工作,预防和减轻连阴雨灾害损失提供了科学依据

Abstract:

 This paper analyzed the data of continuous rain from 1971 to 2010 in Longnan, and the conclusions were as follows:continuous rain mainly occurred between May and October, but the highest occurrence frequencies of continuous rain were during the summer harvest and sowing period from May to July and the autumn harvest and sowing period from September to October, which were the most harmful disaster and caused the most serious damage on agriculture in mountain areas in Longnan Combined with data about population, farmland ratio, GDP of Wudu County, etc, by the utilizing ARCGIS software, the maps of the possibility of disasters were gained Then, by overlaying and uniting the background of weather disasters and the vulnerability of disaster bodies, and compartmentalizing the hazard grades, the hazard attributions for continuous rain disasters were achieved From the map, it was concluded that the risk grade of continuous rain disasters was highest in the highaltitude chilly and moist region in Kang County, the south of Liangdang County, Wudu and Wen County, which were the high risk regions The risk grade of continuous rain disasters was lowest in the lowaltitude region in Li County, Tanchang and Cheng County, and in the Bailong River, Baishui River, Xihan River Basin, which were the low risk regions The above research results were significant to plan the flood relief measures reasonable for the upper Yangtze River, to prevent geological hazard and soil erosion, to protect the environment, especially to guide the farmers in Longnan mountainous area to arrange agricultural production strictly and reasonably, which could prevent and relieve damage caused by continuous rain

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