长江流域资源与环境 >> 2021, Vol. 30 >> Issue (12): 2822-2832.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202112002

• 区域可持续发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江经济带生态福利绩效空间格局演化及影响因素研究——基于超效率SBM模型

王兆峰,王梓瑛   

  1. (湖南师范大学旅游学院,湖南 长沙 410081)
  • 出版日期:2021-12-20 发布日期:2022-01-07

Spatial Pattern Evolution and Influencing Factors of Ecological Welfare Performance in Yangtze River Economic Belt:Based on Super Efficiency SBM Model

WANG Zhao-feng,WANG Zi-ying   

  1. (Tourism College of Hunan Normal University,Changsha 410081,China)
  • Online:2021-12-20 Published:2022-01-07

摘要: 如何协调好经济、生态环境和社会福利三者之间关系是当前可持续发展研究的重要课题。利用超效率SBM模型测度2007~2017年长江经济带生态福利绩效,运用重心模型和空间插值法刻画生态福利绩效的空间格局演化,并在此基础上采用向量自回归模型分析长江经济带生态福利绩效与其影响因素间的动态响应关系。主要结论为:(1)2007~2017年长江经济带生态福利绩效呈“上升-递减”的趋势,其整体数值偏低,主要受到规模效率的影响。(2)绩效整体重心移动轨迹呈东进北移态势,高值区主要集中在长江中游地区。从空间格局上看,中游和下游地区生态福利绩效呈现出更为显著的“中心-边缘”空间结构,后期分别形成上海市和湖南省两个新的高值中心,呈圈层向四周递减。而上游地区整体绩效逐步趋于落后。(3)规模效应对长江经济带生态福利绩效的影响当期并不显著,到第2期其响应值达到最大,而6~10期在0值附近波动;结构效应始终表现为负向冲击,总体变化幅度不大;而技术效应对长江经济带生态福利绩效的负向响应的频率明显多于正向。从方差分解看,绩效基本上受自身冲击,但后期其影响因素对绩效的贡献率均有不同程度的增加。

Abstract: How to coordinate the relationship among economy, ecological environment and social welfare is an important task of sustainable development. This paper uses the super efficiency SBM model to measure the ecological welfare performance of the Yangtze River Economic Belt in 2007-2017, uses the barycenter model and spatial interpolation method to describe the spatial pattern evolution of the ecological welfare performance, and on this basis, uses the vector autoregressive model to analyze the dynamic response relationship between the ecological welfare performance and its influencing factors.The main conclusions are as follows: (1) from 2007 to 2017, the ecological welfare performance of the Yangtze River Economic Belt shows an upward trend in the early stage, but decreases in the later, and its overall value is low, which is mainly affected by scale efficiency.(2) On the whole, the track of the performance’s gravity center moves eastward and northward,and the high value areas are mainly concentrated in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River.From the perspective of spatial pattern, the ecological welfare performance in the middle and lower reaches of the region takes Hunan Province and Shanghai City as the high value centers respectively, which decreases from circle to circle, showing a more significant spatial structure of “core-periphery” .However, the overall performance of the upstream region is gradually lagging behind.(3) The impact of scale effect on the performance of ecological welfare is not significant in the current period. Its response value reaches the maximum value in the second period, and fluctuates near zero value in the sixth to tenth periods; the structural effect always shows negative impact, and the overall range of change is small; while the frequency of negative response of technical effect is significantly higher than that of positive.From the perspective of variance decomposition, performance is basically impacted by itself, but in the later stage, the contribution rate of its influencing factors has increase in varying degrees.

No related articles found!
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
[1] 王 初, 陈振楼, 王 京, 周乃晟, 许世远. 上海市崇明岛公路两侧土壤重金属污染研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2008, 17(1): 105 .
[2] 苏伟忠,杨桂山,顾朝林. 秦淮河流域城镇用地增长格局及其演化机制[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2007, 16(4): 440 .
[3] 廖晓勇,罗承德,陈治谏,王海明. 三峡库区坡地果园间植草篱的水土保持效应[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2008, 17(1): 152 .
[4] 何小勤, 戴雪荣, 顾成军. 崇明东滩不同部位的季节性沉积研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2009, 18(2): 157 .
[5] 刘 韫. 生态旅游的可持续性评价模型研究——以九寨沟景区为例[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2009, 18(12): 1103 .
[6] 谢贤健 | 屈小斌 | 兰代萍 | 胡学华. 中小城市土地利用空间结构分析的尺度效应[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2011, 20(07): 897 .
[7] 韩林,余斌|鲁科. 泥石流暴发频率与其形成区块石粒径的关系[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2011, 20(09): 1149 .
[8] 马苏, 杨波, 郑志华, 王彬武, 刘宇鹏, 徐碧华. 湖南永吉高速公路建设的景观格局影响评价[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2011, 20(11): 1383 .
[9] 凡非得| 王克林 | 宣 勇 | 岳跃民. 西南喀斯特区域生态环境敏感性评价及其空间分布[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2011, 20(11): 1394 .
[10] 许朗|黄莺|刘爱军. 基于主成分分析的江苏省水资源承载力研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2011, 20(12): 1468 .