长江流域资源与环境 >> 2022, Vol. 31 >> Issue (12): 2780-2788.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202212020

• 农业发展 • 上一篇    

粮食主产区农业碳排放回弹效应研究

黄晓慧1,杨飞1,陆迁2   

  1. (1.江苏师范大学商学院,江苏 徐州 221116;2.西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西 杨凌 712100)
  • 出版日期:2022-12-20 发布日期:2023-01-13

Research on the Rebound Effect of Agricultural Carbon Emission Based on Technological Progress in Main Grain Producing Areas

HUANG Xiao-hui1,YANG Fei1,LU Qian2   

  1. (1.Business School, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou 221116, China;2.College of Economics and Management, Northwest Agriculture and Forestry University, Yangling 712100, China)
  • Online:2022-12-20 Published:2023-01-13

摘要: 低碳农业是绿色发展理念在农业中的重要实践,技术进步是推动农业碳减排的重要因素。基于2008~2019年中国粮食主产区的面板数据,测算了由技术进步引起的农业碳排放回弹效应,探讨其形成机理和特征。研究表明:(1)地区间农业碳排放差异明显,并呈现较为明显的“上升-下降”的阶段变化特征。(2)一方面,农业技术进步能够降低农业碳排放强度,另一方面会促进农业经济增长,增加农业资源投入,增加农业碳排放,导致形成回弹效应。(3)粮食主产区农业碳排放普遍存在回弹效应,有的省份出现回火现象,区域和年份上存在差异。最后,提出对策建议降低粮食主产区农业碳排放回弹效应。

Abstract: Low-carbon agriculture is an important practice of green development concept in agriculture, and technological progress is an important factor to promote agricultural carbon emission reduction. Based on the panel data of China's main grain producing areas from 2008 to 2019, this paper firstly calculates the rebound effect of agricultural carbon emissions caused by technological progress, further discusses its formation mechanism and characteristics. The results show that: (1) There are obvious differences in the agricultural carbon emissions among various regions, and displays an obvious ‘up-down’ phase-change characteristic. (2) On the one hand, agricultural technological progress can reduce the intensity of agricultural carbon emissions. On the other hand, agricultural technological progress can promote agricultural economic growth, increase agricultural resources investment, increase agricultural carbon emissions, resulting in a rebound effect. (3)Agricultural carbon emissions in main grain producing areas generally have rebound effect, and some provinces have tempering effect. There are differences among various regions and various years. Finally, this paper puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions to reduce the rebound effect of agricultural carbon emission in main grain producing areas.

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