长江流域资源与环境 >> 2024, Vol. 33 >> Issue (12): 2605-2618.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202412005

• 自然资源 • 上一篇    下一篇

碳排放约束下江苏省城市工业用地利用效率时空演化特征与影响因素

陶德凯1,2,3,唐凯旋4,罗吉5*   

  1. (1. 南京工业大学建筑学院,江苏 南京 211816;2. 大运河文化带建设研究院区域发展研究中心,江苏 南京 210004;3. 江苏省委农办、省农业农村厅乡村振兴专家咨询委员会,江苏 南京 210036; 4. 汕尾市港口资产投资管理有限公司,广东 汕尾 516600;5. 华中科技大学建筑与城市规划学院,湖北 武汉 430074)
  • 出版日期:2024-12-20 发布日期:2024-12-27

Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Industrial Land Use Efficiency in Urban Areas of Jiangsu Province Under Carbon Emission Constraints

TAO De-kai1,2,3, TANG Kai-xuan4, LUO Ji5   

  1. (1. College of Architecture, Nanjing Tech University, Nanjing 211816, China; 2. Regional Development Research Center of the Grand Canal Cultural Belt Construction Research Institute, Nanjing 210004, China; 3. Rural Work Office of the Jiangsu Provincial
     Party Committee and Rural Revitalization Expert Advisory Committee of the Provincial Department of Agriculture and Rural Affairs,
     Nanjing 210036, China; 4. Shanwei Port Asset Investment Management Co., Ltd, Shanwei 516600, China; 
    5. School of Architecture and Urban Planning, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China)
  • Online:2024-12-20 Published:2024-12-27

摘要: “双碳”目标下城市工业空间资源的高效利用和低碳发展成为城乡空间发展研究的焦点。以江苏省13市的工业用地为研究对象,运用Super-SBM模型测度碳排放约束下城市工业用地利用效率,动态分析碳排放变化趋势与工业用地利用效率时空演变特征,进一步运用空间计量模型探究工业用地利用效率变动的影响因素。研究表明:(1)2011~2021年江苏省规模以上工业企业的碳排放量整体稳定,工业用地规模扩大,工业用地的地均碳排放强度呈下降趋势;(2)江苏省城市工业用地利用效率总体呈波动增长态势,其中2011~2015年缓慢下降,2016~2021年快速上升,工业用地利用效率空间格局演化较为剧烈,中高效率与高效率区域空间集聚性明显增强,其中南京都市圈与苏锡常都市圈成为高效率城市连绵区;(3)城镇化水平对地理距离相邻的城市具有较显著的正向空间溢出效应,江苏省产业结构中工业占比提升对本区域工业用地利用效率具有显著的负向影响,对相邻地区具有显著的正向空间溢出效应。工业产权结构对碳排放约束下的城市工业用地利用效率存在显著的正向影响,而用地结构、工业发展水平均对碳排放约束下的城市工业用地利用效率具有显著的负向影响。

Abstract: Efficient utilization of urban industrial land resources and reduced carbon emissions under the "dual-carbon" target have become the focus of research on urban-rural spatial development. Taking industrial land in 13 cities in Jiangsu Province as the research object, this study used the Super-SBM model to measure the efficiency of urban industrial land use under carbon emission constraints. The trend of carbon emissions and the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics were explored. Furthermore, spatial econometric models were employed to explore the influencing factors of changes in industrial land use efficiency. This study revealed that: (1) From 2011 to 2021, the carbon emissions of industrial enterprises above designated size in Jiangsu Province remained stable overall, while the scale of industrial land expanded and the intensity of carbon emissions per unit area showed a downward trend; (2) The overall trend of urban industrial land use efficiency in Jiangsu Province showed a fluctuating growth. The trend declined from 2011 to 2015, and then rapidly increased from 2016 to 2021. The spatial pattern of industrial land use efficiency evolved dramatically, with significant enhancement in spatial agglomeration in regions of medium-high efficiency and high efficiency, among which the Nanjing metropolitan area and the Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou metropolitan area became high-efficiency urban conurbations; (3) The level of urbanization demonstrated a significant positive spatial spillover effect on adjacent cities. The increase in the proportion of industry in the industrial structure of Jiangsu Province had a significant negative impact on the industrial land use efficiency, but a significant positive spatial spillover effect on adjacent areas. Industrial property structure had a significant positive impact on the efficiency of urban industrial land use, while land structure and industrial development level had significant negative impacts on the efficiency of urban industrial land use under carbon emission constraints.

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