长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (6): 1371-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202506017

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

2000—2020年西南山区乡村生计韧性时空演变特征及影响因素

朱思吉1,吴映梅1,孙俊1,2*,柯月嫦3,陆清平1,刘佳灵1   

  1. (1.云南师范大学地理学部,云南 昆明 650500;2.云南师范大学历史与行政学院,云南 昆明 650500;3.中国科学院西双版纳热带植物园综合保护中心,云南 勐腊 666303)
  • 出版日期:2025-06-20 发布日期:2025-06-27

Spatiotemporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Rural Livelihood Resilience in Mountainous Areas of Southwest China from 2000 to 2020

ZHU Si-ji1, WU Ying-mei1, SUN Jun1, KE Yue-chang, LU Qing-ping1, LIU Jia-ling1   

  1. (1.Faculty of Geography, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming 650500,China; 2.School of History and Administration, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming 650500,China; 3.Center for Integrative Conservation, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Mengla 66630,China)
  • Online:2025-06-20 Published:2025-06-27

摘要: 提高乡村生计韧性、增强乡村抗风险能力,对守好我国“三农”基本盘至关重要。基于区域宏观视角,从缓冲能力、调整能力和更新能力3个维度构建乡村生计韧性评价指标体系,运用集对分析法测度西南山区234个脱贫县的乡村生计韧性,深入探讨乡村生计韧性的整体水平与时空演变特征,并进一步运用地理探测器分析其影响因素。研究结果表明:(1)2000~2020年,西南山区乡村生计韧性水平从次低韧性(01365)增长到次高韧性(05069),乡村生计韧性结构从“调整能力—缓冲能力—更新能力”演变为“缓冲能力—调整能力—更新能力”;(2)西南山区乡村生计韧性空间差异显著,整体呈东北—西南延伸的空间分布格局,分布重心先向东北再向西南移动,且在径向上愈发均衡;(3)乡村生计韧性在全局空间分布上呈显著集聚态势,集聚性先缓慢减弱再快速增强,冷点集聚于川滇藏区和乌蒙山区,热点集聚于川北、重庆和滇西等地;(4)自然地理环境的影响力逐渐降低,而经济发展基础、产业多样化和医疗卫生服务水平对乡村生计韧性的提升越来越具有重要意义。研究旨在将韧性理论融入乡村生计系统考察乡村生计韧性的时空演变及影响因素,为欠发达山区巩固脱贫攻坚成果、全面实施乡村振兴战略提供理论指导与实践案例。

Abstract: Improving the rural livelihood resilience and tapping the risk-resistant potential of rural areas are important for the sustainability of rural areas, farmers and agriculture.In this study, a rural livelihood resilience evaluation indicator system was established based on a regional macro perspective.The system integrated buffering capacity, adjustment capacity and renewal capacity.The rural livelihood resilience of 234 out-of-poverty counties in the mountainous areas of Southwest China was quantitatively evaluated, using the set-pair analysis method.The overall level and spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of rural livelihood resilience were analyzed, and the influencing factors of rural livelihood resilience were further explored using Geodetector.The results showed that: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the rural livelihood resilience in mountainous areas of Southwest China increased from a sub-low level of 0136 5 to a sub-high level of 0506 9.The structure of rural livelihood resilience evolved from "adjustment capacity - buffering capacity - renewal capacity" to "buffering capacity - adjustment capacity - renewal capacity"; (2) There were significant spatial differences in rural livelihood resilience in the study area, showing a spatial distribution pattern extending from northeast to southwest, with the center of gravity of rural livelihood resilience moving first to the northeast and then to the southwest, with an evidence of more and more balanced in the radial direction; (3) Rural livelihood resilience showed a significant clustering pattern in the global spatial distribution, with clustering slowly weakening and then rapidly increasing.The cold spots were concentrated in the Tibetan areas of Sichuan and Yunnan, and the Wumeng Mountains, while the hot spots were concentrated in northern Sichuan, Chongqing, and western Yunnan; (4) The influence of natural geographical environment continued to decline, while the economic development foundation, industrial diversification, and medical services were becoming increasingly important for the enhancement of rural livelihood resilience.This study aimed to integrate the resilience theory into the macro rural livelihood system to examine the spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of rural livelihood resilience, which provided important theoretical and practical guidance significance for consolidating the results of poverty alleviation and implementing rural revitalization strategies in underdeveloped mountainous areas

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