长江流域资源与环境 >> 2025, Vol. 34 >> Issue (09): 2092-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202509016

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

下荆江流域牛轭湖群水文连通性变化趋势及驱动因素分析

姚越超1,王伟 2,3,周存宇 1*,李伟4,孙君瑶2,3*
  

  1. (1. 长江大学园艺园林学院,湖北 荆州 434025;2.湿地演化与生态恢复湖北省重点实验室,中国科学院武汉植物园,湖北 武汉,430074;3.荆江洪泛湿地生态系统定位观测研究站,中国科学院武汉植物园,湖北 武汉,430074;4. 西藏大学青藏高原生态与环境研究中心,西藏 拉萨 850000)
  • 出版日期:2025-09-20 发布日期:2025-09-22

Hydrological Connectivity Trends and Driving Factors in Oxbow Lake Systems of the Lower Jingjiang River Basin

YAO Yue-chao1, WANG Wei 2,3, ZHOU Cun-yu 1, LI Wei 4, SUN Jun-yao2,3   

  1. (1. College of Horticulture and Landscape Architecture, Yangtze University,Jingzhou 434025, China;2.Hubei Key Laboratory of Wetland Evolution & Ecological Restoration,Wuhan Botanical Garden,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Wuhan 430074,China;3.Jingjiang Floodplain Ecological and Experimental Station,China Terrestrial Ecosystem Research Network,Wuhan 430074,China;4.Research Center for Ecology and Environment of Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, Tibet University, Lhasa 850000, China)
  • Online:2025-09-20 Published:2025-09-22

摘要: 由于全球气候变化和人类高强度的建设活动,牛轭湖面临退化和水文连通丧失的风险,牛轭湖与河流的连通性不仅在一定程度上反映水生态系统的平衡,而且在维持湖泊生态环境健康方面具有重要功能。目前针对牛轭湖群水文连通性变化的研究局限于传统方法且多是单向的湖泊连通。以下荆江流域16个牛轭湖为研究对象,基于遥感影像数据,采用图论法、AHP-熵权法、Mann-Kendall趋势与突变检测、滑动t检验、广义线性回归分析了下荆江流域牛轭湖群水文连通性长时间序列变化及驱动因素。结果表明:(1)牛轭湖群汛期和非汛期水文连通性均呈下降趋势,(汛期P<0.05,非汛期P<0.05)汛期下降趋势较非汛期明显,非汛期最高值出现在1990年(G=0.512),汛期最高值在1998年(G=0.989)。不同水面比下水文连通性均呈下降趋势且下降幅度具有差异。(2)由于三峡大坝的建设,非汛期牛轭湖群水文连通性在1994年发生突变,汛期发生在2006年,大坝建设对牛轭湖群连通性具有明显影响。(3)湿地面积和径流量均是解释不同水文条件下牛轭湖群水文连通性的主导因子;汛期水体波动频率和植被覆盖度与牛轭湖群连通性相关性最高。水面比对牛轭湖群连通性变化存在潜在影响,低/高水面比对水文连通性响应最敏感,中水面比下连通性受环境因子影响较低。研究为下荆江流域水生态环境治理和水资源合理开发提供理论支持,具有借鉴意义。

Abstract: Oxbow lakes are vulnerable to degradation and loss of hydrological connectivity as a result of high-intensity human construction activities and global climate change. The connectivity of oxbow lakes to rivers is essential to maintaining the ecological health of the lakes.However, most of the existing studies on the changes of hydrological connectivity of the oxbow lakes used traditional approaches and focused on the unidirectional lake connectivity. In this study, 16 oxbow lakes in the Lower Jing River Basin were taken as the study area. The long-term changes in hydrological connectivity and the associated driving factors were explored. The method of the graph theory method, the AHP-entropy weight method, the Mann-Kendall trend and mutation detection, the sliding t-test, and the generalized linear regression was adopted. The results showed:(1) The hydrological connectivity of oxbow lakes decreased during both flood and non-flood seasons (P<0.05), with the highest value in the non-flood season in 1990 (G=0.512) and the highest value in the flood season in 1998 (G=0.989). The amount of the loss in hydrological connection varied depending on the water surface ratio. (2) Hydrological connectedness in non-flood season altered abruptly in 1994, as a result of the construction of Three Gorges Dam. The Dam's construction had a profound impact on the connection of the oxbow lakes.(3)Wetland area and runoff volume were the primary determinants of hydrological connectivity in oxbow lakes under varying conditions. During the flood season, water fluctuation frequency and vegetation cover showed the strongest correlations with connectivity. The water surface ratio also influenced the dynamics of connectivity, with low and high ratios exhibiting the highest sensitivity, while medium ratios were less affected by environmental factors. This study offered a theoretical justification for prudent management of the Lower Jing-jiang River Basin's water resources and ecological environment.

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