长江流域资源与环境 >> 2016, Vol. 25 >> Issue (07): 1103-1111.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201607012
夏少霞1,2, 于秀波1, 刘宇1, 贾亦飞1, 张广帅1,2
XIA Shao-xia1,2, YU Xiu-bo1, LIU Yu1, JIA Yi-fei1, ZHANG Guang-shuai1,2
摘要: 近年来鄱阳湖秋冬季水文呈干枯态势,湿地生态系统及其关键因子也发生了变化。如何合理保护和利用鄱阳湖湿地引起各方关注。系统综述了鄱阳湖湿地生态系统在水文、江湖关系、水质、水鸟栖息地、渔业资源等方面存在的问题,梳理了引起这些问题的外部和内部因素。针对“一切照常”和“水位调控”两种情景,预测了湿地未来的变化趋势,并指出了当前研究中的不确定性问题。研究认为:鄱阳湖秋冬季的低枯水位,对水质、湿地植被、水鸟栖息地以及鱼类食物资源和“三场”(即:产卵场、洄游通道、索饵场)产生了一定不利影响。建议通过模型模拟和情景预测来分析不同调控方案的影响效果,优化调控方案、将生态系统的负面影响降到最低。
中图分类号:
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