长江流域资源与环境 >> 2019, Vol. 28 >> Issue (12): 2961-2970.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201912016

• 农业发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于推拉理论的“农二代”耕作意愿研究——以河南省为例

范辉1,2,3 ,于雪霞1 , 李澳归1 , 韦红云1 , 魏春艳1 , 钱丹丹1   

  1. ( 1.信阳师范学院地理科学学院,河南 信阳 464000;2.信阳师范学院河南省精准扶贫与乡村振兴
    软科学研究基地,河南 信阳 464000;3.信阳师范学院河南省水土环境污染协同防治重点实验室,河南 信阳 464000)

  • 出版日期:2019-12-20 发布日期:2019-12-10

Push-pull Theory Study of the Farming Willingness of Rural Youths:Taking Henan Province as an Example

FAN Hui1,2,3,YU Xue-xia1,LI Ao-gui1,WEI Hong-yun1,WEI Chun-yan1,QIAN Dan-dan1   

  1. (1. College of Geography Science, Xinyang Normal University, Xinyang 464000, China; 2. the Center of Targeted Poverty alleviation and Rural Revitalization, Xinyang Normal University, Xinyang 464000, China; 3.Henan Key Laboratory
     for Synergistic Prevention of Water and Soil Environmental Pollution, Xinyang Normal University, Xinyang 464000, China)
  • Online:2019-12-20 Published:2019-12-10

摘要: “农二代”耕作意愿关系到农业经营主体的发展、新型职业农民的培养和国家粮食安全。基于河南省597份问卷调查数据,运用推拉理论并采用二元Logistic回归分析模型,探索了“农二代”分别在近期和远期的耕作意愿及其影响因素。结果表明:与近期相比,“农二代”的耕作意愿在远期将会下降。“农二代”耕作意愿在近期和远期的影响因素有同有异。种地经历、家庭类型和农村生活压力等对“农二代”近期、远期的耕作意愿均影响显著且方向相同;种地技能要求、日常家庭开支对近期、远期的耕作意愿均有影响,但前后方向相反。而有些因素仅对“农二代”近期耕作意愿或远期耕作意愿单方面有影响。农户特征和农村推力等方面的因素在“农二代”近远期耕作意愿中均发挥重要作用。农村拉力在近期耕作意愿中作用明显,而城镇拉力在远期耕作意愿中影响显著。最后,根据“农二代”的耕作意愿影响因素,提出了具体的政策建议以期为地方政府制定相关政策提供支撑。

Abstract: The farming willingness of rural youth is highly related to the development of agricultural management, to the training of novel skilled farmers and to the national food security of China. Based on the data of 597 questionnaires obtained in Henan Province, we explore the farming willingness and its impact factors of rural youth in the near and long term, respectively. We use the push-pull theory as well as the binary logistic regression analysis model in this work. The results show that the farming willingness of rural youth will decrease in the far future compared with the results in recent years. There are similarities and differences between the short-term and long-term reasons of the “two generation” farming willingness. The farming experience, family type and life stress in the rural aeras have significant effect, along the same direction, on the short-term and long-term farming willingness of rural youth, while the requirements of farming skill and daily family expenditure have influence on the short-term and long-term farming willingness with opposite directions. However, some factors only affect the farming willingness of short-term or the long-term farming willingness of rural youths. Factors such as peasant household characteristics and rural thrust play an important role in both the short-term and long-term farming willingness of rural youths. In addition, the pull force in rural areas has a significant effect on the short-term farming willingness, while the pull force in urban areas has a significant effect on the long-term farming willingness. According to the impact factors of the farming willingness of rural youth, we show some specific policy suggestions to provide comments for local governments to formulate their policies.

No related articles found!
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
[1] 张 政, 付融冰| 杨海真, 顾国维. 水量衡算条件下人工湿地对有机物的去除[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2007, 16(3): 363 .
[2] 陈秀芝, 朱莉莉, 郭水良. 长江口九段沙典型潮沟植物群落的物种多样性和种群生态位[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2010, 19(Z2): 25 .
[3] 苏国欢, 沙永翠, 熊鹰, 张培育, 徐军. 大坝截流前后金沙江观音岩水电站鱼类群落功能多样性的变化[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2015, 24(06): 965 -970 .
[4] 庄汝龙, 宓科娜, 梁龙武. 中国工业废水排放格局及其驱动因素[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(08): 1765 .
[5] 唐恩斌, 张梅青.  

高铁背景下城市铁路可达性与空间相互作用格局——以江西省为例 [J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(10): 2241 -2249 .

[6] 顾铮鸣, 金晓斌, 沈春竹, 金志丰, 周寅康. 近15a江苏省水源涵养功能时空变化与影响因素探析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(11): 2453 -2462 .
[7] 王 冰, 程 婷. 我国中部城市环境全要素生产率的时空演变——基于Malmquist-Luenberger生产率指数分解方法[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2019, 28(01): 48 -59 .
[8] 王刚毅, 刘 杰. 基于改进水生态足迹的水资源环境与经济发展协调性评价——以中原城市群为例[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2019, 28(01): 80 -90 .
[9] 陈国磊, 田玲玲, 罗静, 蒋亮, 吴益坤, . 长江经济带城市黑臭水体空间分布格局及影响因子[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2019, 28(05): 1003 -1014 .
[10] 魏建飞 程迪 丁志伟 李燕菲 张浩. 2019年7期安徽省镇域经济发展水平的时空分异及空间格局影响因素分析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 0, (): 0 .