长江流域资源与环境 >> 2021, Vol. 30 >> Issue (12): 2811-2821.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202112001

• 区域可持续发展 •    下一篇

中国县域人口城镇化与产业高级化的时空耦合及其影响因素研究

施凡基1,2,徐  勇1,2*   

  1. (1.中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所/区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室,北京 100101;2.中国科学院大学,北京 100039)
  • 出版日期:2021-12-20 发布日期:2022-01-07

Spatio-temporal Coupling Characteristics and Its Influencing Factors Between Population Urbanization and Industrial Upgrading at Country Level in China

SHI Fan-ji 1,2,XU Yong1,2   

  1. (1.Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling,CAS,Beijing 100101,China;2.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100039; China)
  • Online:2021-12-20 Published:2022-01-07

摘要: 基于人口城镇化率与产业高级化指数之间相互作用的逻辑关系,利用1990、2000与2010年,全国 2 271 个县域的截面数据,分析中国县域人口城镇化与产业高级化之间的耦合关系,并对二者耦合关系的影响因素进行分析。研究表明:(1)中国县域人口城镇化与产业高级化的静态耦合协调度随时间推移不断提升,并且呈现出明显的自西向东逐渐协调的空间格局。(2)人口城镇化与产业高级化的动态耦合特征分为“衰退型”、“滞后型”、“超前型”与“增长型”四类,不同类型的之间的转化特征同样体现出时空依赖性,“胡焕庸线”以东地区主要由“超前型”转变为“增长型”,以西地区则恰好相反。(3)平均海拔和高中学历以上人口比重在不同阶段都对耦合关系存在显著影响,此外,区位条件、人口与就业、非农化程度等因素均对耦合关系产生影响,且影响作用逐渐显著。

Abstract: Based on the logical relationship between population urbanization rate and Industrial upgrading, this paper establishes the index of industrial upgrading by using the cross-sectional data of 2 271 counties in 1990, 2000 and 2010, so as to analyze the temporal and spatial differences of the coupling relationship between them. The results showed that: (1) The static coupling coordination degree between population urbanization and industrial upgrading in China’s counties increased with the passage of time, and showed significant spatial distribution characteristics of decreasing order from east to west. (2) The dynamic coupling characteristics of population urbanization and industrial upgrading could be divided into four types: recession, lagging, advanced and growth. The transformation between different types also reflected the space-time dependence. The eastern part of Hu Huanyong Line has mainly transformed from “advanced” to “growth” while the western part is just the opposite. (3) The average altitude and the proportion of population with high school education or above have significant influence on the coupling relationship at different stages,in addition, location conditions, population and employment, non-agricultural degree and other factors have an impact on the coupling relationship, and the influence is gradually significant.

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