长江流域资源与环境 >> 2022, Vol. 31 >> Issue (6): 1312-1323.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202206012

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

空间溢出视角下的城市水环境影响因素研究——以太湖流域城市为例

曾恩钰1,陈永泰2
  

  1. (1.南京大学工程管理学院,江苏 南京 210093;2.南京审计大学信息工程学院,江苏 南京 210085)
  • 出版日期:2022-06-20 发布日期:2022-07-11

Research on the Influencing Factors of City Water Environment from the Perspective of Spatial Spillover:A Case of Cities in the Taihu Basin

ZENG En-yu1, CHEN Yong-tai2   

  1. (1. School of Management and Engineering, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China;2. School of Information Engineering, Nanjing Audit University, Nanjing 210085, China)
  • Online:2022-06-20 Published:2022-07-11

摘要: 随着经济社会的发展,人类对城市水环境系统的结构与功能改造能力强劲,除自然因素外,水环境状态为人类污染行为与治理行为共同作用下的集中体现。为分析城市水环境效应,以太湖流域为例,基于PSR模型对流域各市2010~2018年的水环境状态进行测度,并检验其空间相关性,采用杜宾模型重点分析了社会经济发展等因素对城市水环境状态的影响以及其空间溢出效应。结果表明:2010~2018年间太湖流域各市的水环境状态均有不同程度的提升,相比而言,位于流域下游区域的嘉兴和上海的水环境状态较差;城市间的水环境状态存在着正向的空间溢出关系,具有“一荣俱荣,一损俱损”的现象;人口集聚对所在城市的水环境状态有负向效应,经济发展与外商投资为显著的正向效应;对周边区域的影响作用来看,人口集聚、科技创新和耕地面积的负向溢出显著,建设用地面积和产业集聚为正向溢出;太湖流域城市产业集聚发展趋于成熟,能实现经济与环境的协调发展;然而来自农业的面源污染是不可忽视的制约水环境改善的影响因素。最后,根据研究结果为城市水环境改善提出加强跨区域协同治理、引导城市土地集约式发展、加强农村水环境治理等政策建议。

Abstract: With the development of the economy and society, human beings have a strong ability to transform the structure and function of the city water environment system. In addition to natural factors, the state of the water environment is a concentrated reflection of human pollution behavior and governance behavior. To analyze the effect of the city water environment, this study takes Taihu Basin as an example. Based on the PSR model, the water environment status of each city in the basin from 2010 to 2018 is measured and its spatial correlation is tested. The study focuses on using the Dubin model to analyze the impact of social and economic development factors on the city water environment and its spatial spillover effects. The results show that the water environmental status of cities in the Taihu basin has been improved in varying degrees from 2010 to 2018. The water environmental status of Jiaxing and Shanghai, which are located in the lower reaches of the basin, is worse than that of other cities. There is a positive spatial spillover effect in the water environment between cities, which shows the phenomenon of “sharing prosperity and loss”. Population agglomeration has a negative effect on the local water environment, while economic development and foreign direct investment have a significant positive effect. In terms of the impact on surrounding areas, the negative spillover effects of population agglomeration, technological innovation and cultivated land area are significant, while the construction land area and industrial agglomeration are positive spillovers. The development of industrial agglomeration of cities in the Taihu basin tends to be more mature, which can realize the coordinated development of the economy and environment. However, the non-point source pollution from agriculture is a non-negligible factor restricting the improvement of the water environment. Finally, according to the results of the study, some policy recommendations for the improvement of the city water environment are put forward, such as strengthening cross-regional cooperative governance, guiding the city’s land developed efficiently and intensively, and improving rural water environment governance.

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