长江流域资源与环境 >> 2022, Vol. 31 >> Issue (7): 1584-1594.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202207015

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

江苏省农田生态系统净碳汇时空演变特征

翁翎燕1,4,李伟霄2,张梅3*,谈俊忠4   

  1. (1.南京旅游职业学院旅游管理学院,江苏 南京 211100;2. 南京大学金陵学院,江苏 南京 210089;3.南京财经大学经济学院,江苏 南京 210023;4.南京大学地理与海洋科学学院,江苏 南京 210023)
  • 出版日期:2022-07-20 发布日期:2022-08-22

Spatial-temporal Evolution of Net Carbon Sink of Farmland Ecosystem in Jiangsu Province

WENG Ling-yan1,4, LI Wei-xiao2, ZHANG Mei3, TAN Jun-zhong4   

  1. (1.School of Tourism Management, Nanjing Institute of Tourism & Hopitality, Nanjing 211100, China; 2. Nanjing University Jinling College, Nanjing 210089, China; 3.School of Economics, Nanjing University of Finance & Economics, Nanjing 210023, China; 4. School of Geographic and Oceanographic Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China)
  • Online:2022-07-20 Published:2022-08-22

摘要: 定量研究区域农田生态系统净碳汇的空间结构及其时空变化特征对挖掘农田生态系统的多重功能,合理制定区域适宜的农业减排政策具有重要意义。在测算2005~2019年江苏省农田生态系统净碳汇的基础上,采用标准差椭圆、空间自相关、探索性时空数据分析等方法,对江苏省农田生态系统净碳汇的时空演变特征进行研究。结果表明:(1)江苏省农田生态系统净碳汇呈现“西北—东南”的空间分布格局,且在收缩中趋于集聚化,净碳汇重心总体上朝西北方向移动;(2)江苏省农田生态系统净碳汇在全局上存在显著的空间正相关,局部则呈现较为稳定的“北高南低”的空间集聚特征;(3)江苏省农田生态系统净碳汇局部空间格局的动态演化差异明显,局部空间结构和空间依赖方向上均表现出较强的稳定性。相比较而言,苏中地区较苏南、苏北地区具有更加动态的局部空间结构,而盐城市区、启东市及泰州市区在空间依赖方向上具有较大的波动性;(4)农田生态系统净碳汇的局部空间关联格局较为稳定,局部空间联动性较弱,空间集聚性表现出较高的路径锁定特征。

Abstract: Quantitative researches on the spatial structure and spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of the net carbon sink of regional farmland ecosystem are of great significance to explore the multiple functions of farmland ecosystem and to formulate emission reduction policies appropriate to agricultural regions. Based on the input and output data of major crops at county level units in Jiangsu Province, this paper calculated the net carbon sink of farmland ecosystem in Jiangsu Province from 2005 to 2019. Further by using methods of standard deviation ellipse, spatial autocorrelation, exploratory spatio-temporal data analysis method(ESTDA), this paper also studied the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of the net carbon sink of farmland ecosystem in Jiangsu Province. The main results were shown that: (1) The net carbon sink of farmland ecosystem presented a spatial distribution pattern of “from northwest to southeast” in Jiangsu Province, and tended to be concentrated in the shrinking process. The gravity center of net carbon sink had generally moved towards northwest in Jiangsu Province. (2) By observing the Moran's I from 2005 to 2019, this paper found that the net carbon sink of farmland ecosystem in Jiangsu Province had a significant spatial positive correlation, the Global Moran's I value increased from 0.183 in 2005 to 0.528 in 2019. The local spatial agglomeration was stable, which was high in the north and low in the south of Jiangsu Province, while among them, the HH cluster areas and LL cluster areas accounted for more than 70% of the total number of counties. (3) The local spatial pattern of net carbon sink of farmland ecosystem in Jiangsu Province was obviously different in dynamic evolution, while the local spatial structure and spatial dependence direction were both characteristic of strong stability. In comparison, the dynamics of local spatial structure of farmland ecosystem net carbon sink in Central Jiangsu was stronger than that in Southern and Northern Jiangsu. Yancheng, Qidong and Taizhou had greater fluctuation in spatial dependence direction. (4) The occurrence probability of net carbon sink type IV was 68.33% from 2005 to 2019, indicating that the local spatial correlation pattern of net carbon sink of farmland ecosystem was stable, the local spatial linkage weak, as the spatial agglomeration was of high characteristics of path locking.

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