长江流域资源与环境 >> 2022, Vol. 31 >> Issue (5): 1152-1168.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202205018

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

江西省城市绿色发展水平动态测度及影响机制

徐晔,欧阳婉桦*   

  1. (江西财经大学统计学院,江西 南昌 330013)
  • 出版日期:2022-05-20 发布日期:2022-06-02

Dynamic Measurement of the Urban Green Development #br# Level and Its Influencing Mechanism in Jiangxi Province #br#

XU Ye,OUYANG Wan-hua   

  1. (School of Statistics,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013, China)
  • Online:2022-05-20 Published:2022-06-02

摘要: 在构建城市绿色发展测度体系基础上,采用“纵横向”拉差、探索性空间数据分析和收敛分析等方法对2011~2018年江西城市绿色发展水平进行了动态测度和时空演变分析,构建涵盖环境规制综合指标、技术创新、治理转型、对外开放度、人力资本、产业集聚6个维度的网络拓扑结构Tobit模型探究江西城市绿色发展的影响机制。结果表明:(1)江西各城市绿色发展水平平稳上升,资源环境和经济发展领域分别是江西各城市绿色发展提升的关键保障和重要短板,大南昌都市圈、赣东北、赣西城市绿色发展水平呈依次递减的梯度分布; (2)江西城市绿色发展具有逐渐缩小的空间负相关性,南昌正显著成为热点区域,江西城市绿色发展长期内存在显著收敛趋势; (3)环境规制、技术创新、治理转型、对外开放度、人力资本、产业集聚等对江西城市绿色发展水平有不同的显著影响,并验证了波特假说。

Abstract: The urban green development level measurement system is established,and Jiangxi urban green development level during the period of 2011-2018 is dynamically measured and its spatial and temporal evolution characteristics are analyzed based on “vertical and horizontal” pull-off method,exploratory spatial data analysis method,convergence analysis method and so on. The complex multi-factors that influence the green development of urban is taken as a research perspective,and the network topology Tobit model of Jiangxi urban green development level covering environmental regulation,technological innovation,governance transformation,external openness,human capital and industrial agglomeration is constructed. Results show that,firstly,the overall green development level of the urban in Jiangxi has steadily increased. The resource environment and the economy development are respectively the dominant guarantee and the key weakness of the green development level of the urban in Jiangxi. The green development level of the urban in the Great Nanchang Metropolitan Area has relatively significant feature of descending gradient distribution. Secondly,the urban green development level had spatial negative correlation,which has been decreased. Nanchang has been significantly becoming a hot-spot. Jiangxi urban green development level has significant trend of absolute convergence in the long term. Thirdly,the environmental regulation,technological innovation,transformation of governance,openness to the outside world,human capital and industrial agglomeration degree have shown different significant impacts on the green development level of the urban in Jiangxi. The Porter Hypothesis is verified.

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