长江流域资源与环境 >> 2022, Vol. 31 >> Issue (5): 1137-1151.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202205017

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

成渝地区双城经济圈绿色发展效率评价及时空演变研究

陈影1,2,4, 文传浩3*, 沈体雁4   

  1. (1.重庆工商大学长江上游经济研究中心,重庆 400067;2.重庆财经学院,重庆 401320;3.云南大学经济学院,云南 昆明 650091;4.北京大学政府管理学院,北京 100089)

  • 出版日期:2022-05-20 发布日期:2022-06-02

Evaluation and Spatial-temporal Evolution of Green Development Efficiency in Chengdu-Chongqing Twin City Economic Circle

CHEN Ying1,2,4,WEN Chuan-hao3,SHEN Ti-yan4   

  1. (1.Research Center for Economy of Upper Reaches of the Yangtze River Chongqing Technology and Business University,
    Chongqing 400067,China;2.Chongqing Finance and Economics College,Chongqing 401320,China;3.School of Economics Yunnan University,Kunming 650091,China; 4.School of Government, Peking University, Beijing 100089, China)
  • Online:2022-05-20 Published:2022-06-02

摘要: 绿色发展效率是绿色发展质量评价的重要参考。基于静态与动态视角分别采用超效率SBM模型及Malmquist指数测度2007~2019年成渝地区双城经济圈绿色发展效率,并分析其时空演变特征及影响因素,采用温特线性与季节指数平滑法预测其绿色发展效率。结果表明:(1)成渝地区双城经济圈绿色发展效率为0.882较高水平,呈现从“较高水平较大差距”向“更高水平较小差距”转变的时序特征,但仍低于长三角城市群平均水平;Malmquist均值为1.278,绿色发展效率高增长且总体快于长三角城市群;(2)成渝地区双城经济圈逐渐形成以“雅安-资阳-重庆”与“成都-遂宁-广安”为平行双主轴绿色发展高效率区,“宜宾-泸州”与“绵阳-达州”为两翼绿色发展低效率区的分布格局;(3)对于成渝地区双城经济圈绿色发展效率提升,技术进步的贡献率>技术效率提升的贡献率>规模效率提升的贡献率,并据此将其分为综合促进发展型、专项引领发展型、单项阻碍发展型。

Abstract: Green development efficiency is an important reference to evaluate the quality of green development. Based on the static and dynamic perspectives respectively, this paper measures the green development efficiency of Chengdu-Chongqing Twin City Economic Circle from 2007 to 2019 using super efficiency SBM model and Malmquist index,analyzes its temporal and spatial evolution characteristics and influencing factors,and predicts its green development efficiency for the 14th Five-Year Plan period using Winter linear and seasonal exponential smoothing method. The results show that:(1)The green development efficiency of Chengdu-Chongqing Twin City Economic Circle is a higher level of 0.882,and it presents the time sequence characteristics of the transformation from“higher level and larger gap”to“higher level and smaller gap”,but it is still lower than the average level of Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomerations;The average value of Malmquist is 1.278, indicating a high growth of the green development efficiency, and the overall growth is faster than the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomerations;(2)The Chengdu-Chongqing Twin City Economic Circle has gradually formed a distribution pattern with“Ya'an Ziyang Chongqing”and“Chengdu Suining Guang'an”as double parallel principal axis areas with a high efficiency green development,and“Yibin Luzhou”and“Mianyang Dazhou”as two wings with a low efficiency green development;(3)For the improvement of green development efficiency of the Chengdu-Chongqing Twin City Economic Circle, the contribution rate of technological progress > the contribution rate of technical efficiency > the contribution rate of scale efficiency, and according to this, it can be divided into comprehensive promotion development type, special leading development type and single hindering development type.

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