长江流域资源与环境 >> 2022, Vol. 31 >> Issue (9): 1873-1883.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202209001

• 区域可持续发展 •    下一篇

长江经济带区域发展与资源环境承载力空间耦合特征及高质量发展路径

马志远1,2,段学军1,2*,王  磊1,2,王雅竹1,2   

  1. (1.中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所,江苏 南京210008;2.中国科学院流域地理学重点实验室,江苏 南京210008)
  • 出版日期:2022-09-20 发布日期:2022-09-29

Study on Spatial Coupling Characteristics of Regional Development and Resource-Environment Carrying Capacity and Path of High-Quality Development in Yangtze River Economic Belt

MA Zhi-yuan1,2,DUAN Xue-jun1,2,WANG Lei1,2,WANG Ya-zhu1,2   

  1. (1.Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Nanjing 210008,China;2.Key Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Nanjing 210008,China)
  • Online:2022-09-20 Published:2022-09-29

摘要:  高质量发展是解决区域发展与资源环境承载力矛盾问题的战略举措和基本路径。重构区域发展与资源环境承载力指标体系,借助耦合协调发展类型分析框架,运用CRITIC—熵权法组合赋权法、耦合协调度模型、马尔科夫链等方法,分析了2010~2018年长江经济带区域发展与资源环境承载力的时空格局、同步发展情况、耦合协调特征及发展类型。结果表明:(1)区域发展和资源环境承载力分别以共享性、资源环境治理能力为主要驱动力;两者的空间匹配度较高,下游“双同步”和“资源环境承载力滞后”类型居多,中上游分别以“区域发展滞后”和“双滞后”类型为主。(2)耦合协调度呈低水平上升态势,空间上下游和中上游分别为空间扩散、集中特征;等级演进表现出稳定性特征,较难实现跨越式转移,下中游城市等级转变活跃,上游城市存在“俱乐部趋同”现象。(3)基于分析框架,从动力因素、相对和绝对发展水平将长江经济带城市划分为20种耦合协调发展类型。建议未来以有效性、创新性、资源环境利用效率为重要抓手,因地制宜地采取调控手段和政策助推高质量发展。

Abstract: High-quality development is a strategic initiative and basic path to solve the contradictory problems of regional development and resource-environment carrying capacity. Reconstructing the index system of regional development and resource-environment carrying capacity, with the help of coupled and coordinated development type analysis framework, using CRITIC-EWM combination weighting method, coupled and coordinated degree model, MCO and other methods, coupled and coordinated degree model, Markov chain and other methods, we analyzed the spatial and temporal patterns, simultaneous development, coupled and coordinated characteristics and development types of regional development and resource-environment carrying capacity of Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2010 to 2018. The results show that: (1) Regional development and resource-environment carrying capacity are mainly driven by sharing and resource-environment governance capabilities; the spatial match between them is high, with “double synchronization” and “lagging carrying capacity” types predominating in the downstream, and “lagging development” and “double lagging” types in the middle and upper reaches, respectively. (2) The degree of coupling coordination is rising at a low level, with spatial diffusion and concentration in upstream and downstream, and in midstream and upstream respectively; the grade evolution shows stable characteristics, and it is difficult to achieve leapfrog transfer, with active grade transformation in downstream and midstream cities, and the phenomenon of “club convergence” in upstream cities. (3) Based on the analytical framework, cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt are classified into 20 types of coupled and coordinated development in terms of dynamic factors, relative and absolute development levels. It is suggested that in the future, effectiveness, innovativeness, and resource-environment utilization efficiency are important grips to adopt regulatory instruments and policies to help promote high-quality development according to local conditions.

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