长江流域资源与环境 >> 2023, Vol. 32 >> Issue (2): 339-353.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202302010

• 自然资源 • 上一篇    下一篇

环境约束下农业用水效率的时空演变与地区差异——基于沿江区域与沿黄区域比较视角

孙淑惠,陈晓楠*,张春梅   

  1. (西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西 杨凌 712100)
  • 出版日期:2023-02-20 发布日期:2023-03-09

Spatio-temporal Evolution and Regional Differences of Agricultural Water Use Efficiency Under Environmental Constraints:  A Comparative Perspective of the Area along the Yangtze River and the Yellow River

SUN Shu-hui, CHEN Xiao-nan, ZHANG Chun-mei   

  1. (School of Economics and Management, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, China)
  • Online:2023-02-20 Published:2023-03-09

摘要: 日益稀缺的水资源制约农业发展,在长江经济带发展、黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展先后上升为重大国家战略的新时期,长江与黄河流经的大部分地区作为中国重要农业生产区,其农业生产须向高质量阶段迈进。在此背景下,考察并比较沿江与沿黄区域农业用水效率,对两区域农业高质量发展具有重要参考价值。在数据包络分析框架下,基于2000~2019年中国分省面板数据,通过构建混合距离函数模型,按照“用水理想值/实际值”的思路,测度农业用水效率,并从时空演变、地区差异等方面对两区域展开多层次分析比较。结果表明:(1)除上海外,两区域其余省份效率提升明显,沿黄区域在2016年前明显低于沿江区域,2016年后,反超沿江区域。(2)两区域农业用水效率的分布形态发展虽在样本期初期差异较大,但在后期,具有较高相似性,均表现为主峰位置右移,出现左拖尾现象。(3)沿江区域内部相互影响程度较低,其空间效应并不明显;沿黄区域则呈“低-低、高-高”集聚现象,存在较强空间相关性。(4)两区域农业用水效率的地区差异均呈波动下降趋势,超变密度和地区间差异分别是沿江和沿黄区域差异的主要推动力量。据此,沿江区域各省份应充分发挥自身比较优势,有的放矢地采取措施提高农业用水效率,而沿黄区域应加强协同,坚持农业用水效率“在协同中提升,在提升中协同”的良性发展之路。

Abstract: Increasingly scarce water resources restrict agricultural development. In the new period, the development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, the ecological conservation and high quality development of the Yellow River Basin have become major national strategies. Most of the areas where the Yangtze and Yellow rivers flow are important agricultural production areas in China. Their agricultural production must move to a higher quality stage. In this context, the study and comparison of agricultural water use efficiency along the Yangtze River area and the Yellow River area has important reference value for the high-quality agricultural development of the two regions. In the framework of data envelopment analysis, based on panel data of provinces in China from 2000 to 2019, this paper constructs EBM model to measure agricultural water use efficiency according to the measurement idea of “ideal value/actual value of agricultural water”. In addition, multi-level analysis and comparison are made in the two areas from the aspects of spatio-temporal evolution and regional differences. The results show that, firstly, except for Shanghai, efficiency of other provinces in the two areas improve obviously. The efficiency of the area along the Yellow River is obviously lower than that of the area along the Yangtze River before 2016. After 2016, the area along the Yellow River exceeds the Yangtze River. Secondly, although the distribution pattern development of efficiency in the two areas differ greatly in the early sample period, the two areas show high similarity in the later period, with the main peak position moving to the right and the phenomenon of left trailing. Thirdly, the interaction degree within the area along the Yangtze River is low, and its spatial effect is not obvious. The area along the Yellow River shows a “low-low, high-high” agglomeration phenomenon, and has a strong spatial correlation. Fourthly, the regional differences in the two areas show a trend of fluctuation and decline. Ultra-variable density and between-region differences are the main driving forces of the regional differences in the area along the Yangtze River and the Yellow River respectively. Therefore, all provinces in the area along Yangtze River should give full play to their comparative advantages and take targeted measures to improve agricultural water use efficiency. The area along the Yellow River should strengthen coordination and adhere to the road of benign development of “promotion in coordination and coordination in promotion”.

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