长江流域资源与环境 >> 2021, Vol. 30 >> Issue (12): 2992-3003.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202112018

• 农业发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

土地整治对农户耕地流转的影响研究——基于断点回归的实证分析

王鹏,赵微*   

  1. (华中农业大学公共管理学院,湖北 武汉 430070)
  • 出版日期:2021-12-20 发布日期:2022-01-07

Influence of Land Consolidation on Farmers′ Cultivated Land Transfer: An Empirical Analysis based on Regression Discontinuity

WANG Peng,ZHAO Wei   

  1. (College of Public Administration,Huazhong Agricultural University,Wuhan 430070,China)
  • Online:2021-12-20 Published:2022-01-07

摘要: 运用湖北和湖南典型调查数据,利用断点回归法估计了土地整治对农户耕地流转的影响效应,并对其作用机制进行了探讨。结果表明:(1)土地整治促进了耕地的集中经营。土地整治使农户转出耕地的概率增加了16.0%~21.0%,但对转入耕地的概率没有显著影响;土地整治使转入户转入耕地的面积增加了0.217~0.314 hm2,转出户转出耕地的面积增加了0.067~0.122 hm2。(2)土地整治有效改善了耕地质量条件,整治区耕地田面平整度、田间道路通达度和灌溉排水保证度的改善正向影响了农户转出耕地的概率,且灌溉排水保证度的优化促进了转入户和转出户耕地流转面积的增加。(3)整治区耕地质量的提高促进了耕地经营收益增加和耕地流转价格上升,前者促进了转入户转入耕地面积的增加,后者正向影响了农户转出耕地的概率及转出户转出耕地的面积。建议加大土地整治力度,实现耕地价值提升、增加耕地经营收益,提高农户耕地流转积极性;加快培育新型农业经营主体,鼓励农户实现耕地适度规模经营,扩大耕地流转市场的需求;规范耕地流转行为,优化市场对耕地流转价格的调控作用,稳定耕地流转市场的供给。

Abstract: This paper aims to explore the impact of land consolidation on farmers’ cultivated land transfer based on the investigation of households in typical lobster and rice co-cropping area, Regression Discontinuity model was employed, and the affecting mechanism was tested. The results show that:(1)The implementation of land consolidation promotes the centralized operation of cultivated land. Land consolidation increases the probability of farmers transferring-in cultivated land by 16.0%~21.0%, but it does not have significant influence on farmers' transferring-out of cultivated land. Land consolidation increases the transferred-in cultivated land by 0.217 -0.314 hm2, and the transferred-out area by 0.067 hm2-0.122 hm2.(2)The implementation of land consolidation has effectively improved the quality conditions of cultivated land. Improvements of farmland flatness, accessibility to farmland roads, and irrigation and drainage infrastructure in the consolidation area have positively affected farmers' farmland transfer-out behavior, and the optimization of irrigation and drainage infrastructure has promoted the increase of farmland transfer area, while the improvement of farmland fragmentation has not effectively promoted the farmland transfer.(3)The improvement of cultivated land quality promotes the increase of cultivated land operation income and transfer price. The rise of cultivated land transfer price positively affected the probability and area of transfer-out farmland, and the rise of cultivated land operation income promotes the increase of the area of transfer-in farmland. Finally, suggestions are proposed based on this study. Firstly, we should intensify land consolidation in a targeted way to achieve the cultivated land value enhancement and increase the cultivated land operation income, and then improve the enthusiasm of farmers to transfer cultivated land. Secondly, we should accelerate the cultivation of new agricultural operators, encourage farmers to carry out appropriate scale management of cultivated land, and expand the demand for farmland transfer market. Thirdly, we should standardize the transfer behavior of cultivated land, and optimize the regulation of market price, to stabilize the supply of the transfer land.

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