RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2017, Vol. 26 >> Issue (03): 445-453.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201703015

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DYNAMICS OF RURAL WATER ENVIRONMENTAL CARRYING CAPACITY OF THE TAIHU LAKE BASIN BASED ON CLOUD MODEL——TAKING ZHENJIANG REGION OF TH TAIHU LAKE BASIN AS AN EXAMPLE

XU Ling-yan1, DU Jian-guo1, LIU Gao-feng2   

  1. 1. School of Management, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, China;
    2. School of Business Administration, Hohai University, Changzhou 213022, China
  • Received:2016-08-01 Revised:2016-11-16 Online:2017-03-20
  • Supported by:
    Humanities and Social Sciences Research Foundation of Educational Department in Jiangsu (No.2016SJB630091);Postdoctoral Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (No.1501074C);National Natural Science General Foundation of China (No. 71471076);National Natural Science International Cooperation and Exchanges Foundation of China (No.71411140250);National Natural Science Young Foundation of China (No. 71303074);Senior Talent Project of Jiangsu University (No. 14JDG103)

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Abstract: Estimation of rural water environment carrying capacity and analysis of its dynamic characteristics would help to understand the equilibrium of supply-demand of rural water resources and the water environment quality status, thus to provide scientific advices of new rural construction planning and water environment sustainable development. The paper takes Zhenjiang Region of the Taihu Lake Basin as the study area, combined with cloud model to improve fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, PSR analytical frame of rural water environment carrying capacity and evaluation index system, and analysis of the dynamic characteristics and influencing factors with radar chart, cloud model generator. The results showed that:the cloud model has the advantage of dealing with the accurate value, which can reflect the volatility and randomness of the data; rural water environment carrying capacity of Taihu Lake Basin in Zhenjiang Region requires higher industry and agricultural wastewater discharge, total water supply and sewage control investment. The value of rural water environment carrying capacity in Zhenjiang Region in 2010-2014 remained a steady upward trend, but overall state is weak loading, and the value of various regions ranked as Danyang > Dantu > Runzhou > Jingkou.

Key words: the cloud model, rural water environm ent carrying capacity, the dynamic characteristics, Zhenjiang section of Taihu Lake Basin

CLC Number: 

  • X82
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