RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE YANGTZE BASIN >> 2008, Vol. 17 >> Issue (2): 223-223.

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PRECIPITATION PREDICTION OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE MOUTH AREA OF THE YANGTZE RIVER IN THE 21ST CENTURY

TAO Tao| XIN Kunlun| LIU Suiqing   

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2008-03-20

Abstract:

The climate and environment have changed greatly as a consequence of global warming over the last century.Climate change has brought some adverse effect on natural ecology system,especially on water resources,including quantity,quality,spatialtemporal distribution,water supply and water demand.After the “South to North Water Transfer (E)” project being set up in practice, the selfpurification capability will be decreased in the Yangtze River,especially in lower water period,so the wastewater discharge of Shanghai will have an influence on wetland environment in the mouth of the Yangtze River.Using the simulation of four CCCma models provided by DDC of IPCC,the situation of climate change along the mouth area of the Yangtze River in the next 50 to 100 years due to the effects of human activities was analyzed in this paper.It is indicated that the climate change in this area has some effect on precipitation.The precipitation will show,to some degree,an increasing tend,and the increase in annual precipitation intensity is obvious.

Key words: climate change, mouth area of the Yangtze River, precipitation, trend

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