长江流域资源与环境 >> 2021, Vol. 30 >> Issue (4): 771-781.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202104001

• 区域可持续发展 •    下一篇

长江经济带城市土地开发强度时空格局特征及溢出效应研究

杨  喜1,卢新海2,侯  娇2   

  1. (1.安徽工业大学公共管理与法学院,安徽 马鞍山 243032;2.华中师范大学公共管理学院,湖北 武汉 430079)
  • 出版日期:2021-04-20 发布日期:2021-05-17

Research on Temporal-Spatial Pattern Characteristics and Spillover Effects of Urban Land Development Intensity in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

YANG Xi 1, LU Xin-hai 2, HOU Jiao 2   

  1. (1. School of Public Administration and Law, Anhui University of Technology, Maanshan 243032, China; 2. School of Public Administration, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China)
  • Online:2021-04-20 Published:2021-05-17

摘要: 从空间效应视角下分析城市土地开发强度为优化城市土地资源开发利用提供参考。基于2003~2017年长江经济带108座城市空间面板数据,综合应用核密度估计和空间自相关方法对长江经济带城市土地开发强度时空格局特征进行刻画和识别,通过构建经济地理空间权重矩阵,借助空间面板杜宾模型及其偏微分分解方法对长江经济带城市土地开发强度空间溢出效应进行分析。研究表明:(1)长江经济带城市土地开发强度呈现持续上升特征,城际差异呈现持续扩大化特征,并伴随着极化现象。(2)长江经济带城市土地开发强度在空间分布上并非随机状态,而是存在显著的正向全局空间自相关性,局域空间格局以HH和LL为主,以LH和HL为辅。(3)长江经济带城市土地开发强度存在显著正向空间溢出效应,本地城市土地开发强度会带动邻近城市土地开发强度。(4)经济发展、人口城镇化、第二产业、城市交通和房地产投资对本地城市具有正向直接效应;经济发展、人口城镇化、第二产业对邻近城市具有负向溢出效应,城市交通对邻近城市具有正向溢出效应。据此,城市土地资源开发利用中需要考虑城际之间空间溢出效应,发挥城际之间合作联动作用。

Abstract: Analyzing urban land development intensity from the perspective of spatial effects can provides a new reference for optimizing the development and utilization of urban land resources. Based on the spatial pane data of 108 cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2003 to 2017, a comprehensive application of kernel density estimation and spatial autocorrelation methods were used to characterize and identify the spatial and temporal pattern of urban land development intensity in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. By constructing the economic geographic spatial weight matrix, the spatial panel Durbin model and its partial differential decomposition methods were used to analyze the spatial spillover of urban land development intensity in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.The results indicated that:(1) During the study period, the intensity of urban land development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt continued to increase, and inter-city differences continued to expand, accompanied by polarization. (2) The spatial distribution of urban land development intensity in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is not random, but there is a significant positive global spatial autocorrelation. The local spatial pattern is mainly HH and LL, supplemented by LH and HL. (3) The urban land development intensity of the Yangtze River Economic Belt has a significant positive space spillover effect, that is, the local urban land development intensity will drive the neighboring urban land development intensity. (4) Economic development, population urbanization, secondary industry, urban transportation, and real estate investment have a positive direct effect on local cities; economic development, population urbanization, and secondary industry have a negative spillover effect on neighboring cities. urban transportation have a positive spillover effect on neighboring cities.

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