长江流域资源与环境 >> 2022, Vol. 31 >> Issue (7): 1605-1615.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202207017

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

皖江城市带生态安全时空演化特征研究

房莉1,2,方凤满1,2*,余健1,2,马康1,路曙光1,林跃胜1,2   

  1. (1.安徽师范大学地理与旅游学院,安徽 芜湖 241003;2.江淮流域地表过程与区域响应安徽省重点实验室,安徽 芜湖 241003)
  • 出版日期:2022-07-20 发布日期:2022-08-22

Spatio-temporal Evolution of Ecological Security in Wanjiang City Belt

FANG Li1,2, FANG Feng-man1,2, YU Jian1,2, MA Kang1, LU Shu-guang1, LIN Yue-sheng1,2   

  1. (1.School of Geography and Tourism, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241003, China; 2.Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Process and Regional Response in the Yangze-Huaihe River, Wuhu 241003, China)

  • Online:2022-07-20 Published:2022-08-22

摘要: 城市生态安全是保证城市资源可持续利用和区域可持续发展的基础和前提。皖江城市带是长江经济带“承东启西”的关键部位,为促进皖江城市带生态环境与区域经济高质量协调发展,采用DPSR模型构建生态安全评价体系,利用熵权法与标准差系数法确定指标权重,采用综合指数法、空间变差模型与灰色GM(1,1)模型等方法分析了皖江城市带生态安全时空演变特征、影响因素与发展趋势。结果表明:(1)皖江城市带生态安全综合指数随时间变化呈波动增长趋势,研究时段内,合肥生态安全指数年增长率最高,为1.14%,马鞍山年增长率最低,为0.77%; (2)南部的池州和宣城两`市总体生态安全等级较高,北部的滁州和合肥逐渐向理想安全等级转化,中部的沿江城市马鞍山、芜湖、安庆和铜陵的生态安全处于较差等级; (3)皖江城市带生态安全格局演化具有一定的延续性和规律性,空间分异层次特征显著,整体上呈现出从“南部>北部>中部”向“北部>南部>中部”的空间演变格局; (4)驱动力与响应层指标对生态安全具有较好的推动作用; (5)预测结果表明,2020~2030年皖江城市带生态安全重心将进一步向“西南-东北”格局转变。

Abstract: Urban ecological security is the basis and premise to ensure the sustainable utilization of urban resources and regional sustainable development.Wanjiang City Belt has promoted the economic progress of the whole Anhui province, but ecological system which is crucial for social and economic has sustained various threats and oppression for years.In this paper, the ecological security evaluation index system of Wanjiang City Belt was constructed from four dimensions of driving-force,pressure,state and response,and we used entropy weight method and standard deviation coefficient method to determine the index weight. The comprehensive index method, the spatial variation model and the grey GM(1,1) modelwere used to analyze the characteristics of the dynamic spatial and temporal evolution and alsothe development trendof the ecological securityin Wanjiang City Belt from 2007 to 2018. Research results showed that:(1) The comprehensive index of ecological security in Wanjiang City Belt showed a fluctuating growth trend over time, but the improvement of each city was different. During the research period, the annual growth rate of the ecological security index in Hefei was the highest (1.14%), and that in Ma 'anshan was the lowest (0.77%). (2) Chizhou and Xuancheng in the south of the study area had high ecological security level, Chuzhou and Hefei in the north gradually transform to ideal security level, and Maanshan, Wuhu, Anqing and Tongling along the river in the middle were in poor ecological security level. (3) The evolution of ecological security pattern in Wanjiang City Belt had a certain continuity and regularity, and the characteristics of spatial differentiation level were significant. On the whole, it presented a spatial evolution pattern from "southern > northern > central " to "northern >southern > central". (4) The indicators of driving force and response layer had a good impact on ecological security. (5) The prediction results showed that the spatial distribution of ecological security center in Wanjiang City Belt will further change to the pattern of "southwest-northeast" during 2020-2030.

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