长江流域资源与环境 >> 2023, Vol. 32 >> Issue (4): 809-820.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202304012

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

“双碳”背景下水稻生态系统碳中和演化特征与对策研究

郭长青,王鑫,曹丹丹   

  1. (兰州理工大学经济管理学院,甘肃 兰州 730050)
  • 出版日期:2023-04-20 发布日期:2023-04-27

Research on the Evolution Characteristics and Countermeasures of  Carbon Neutralization in Rice Ecosystem Under the Background of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality Goals

GUO Chang-qing, WANG Xin, CAO Dan-dan   

  1. (School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou 730050,China)
  • Online:2023-04-20 Published:2023-04-27

摘要: 气候变化给人类社会与经济发展带来显著影响,降碳减排迫在眉睫,作为经济社会发展的重要领域,实现农业碳中和目标具有重要意义。研究以水稻种植大省——湖南省为研究对象,运用泰尔指数与马尔科夫链探究水稻生态系统碳中和空间差异性与动态演进特征动态演进规律。研究结论如下:(1)湖南省水稻生态系统已实现碳中和并呈现碳盈余状态,但空间差异明显,区域内差异占主导地位。(2)碳中和时间演进具有较强的稳定性,存在“路径依赖”现象;同时,碳中和存在典型的空间依赖特征,在中低、中高空间滞后状态下,对邻域环境具有积极辐射带动作用,且辐射带动效应与空间差距成正比。(3)未来,水稻生态系统需在减碳控碳、生态增汇、区域协作、创收增益4个方面进一步发力,充分协调好农业“双碳”目标与粮食安全和农民增收之间的关系,助力“双碳”进程。

Abstract: Climate change has had a significant impact on human society and economic development, which means that carbon emission reduction are imminent. As an important area of economic and social development, it is of great significance to achieve the goal of carbon neutrality in agriculture. Hunan Province, a major rice-growing province, is selected as the research object to explore the spatial differences and dynamic evolution characteristics of rice ecosystem carbon neutrality used the methods of Theil index and Markov chain. The research conclusions are as follows: (1) the rice ecosystem in Hunan Province has achieved carbon neutrality and is in a carbon surplus state. But Spatial differences of carbon neutrality are evident and regional differences dominate in Spatial differences. (2) Time evolution of carbon neutralization is strong stability, and there is a phenomenon of "path dependence". At the same time, carbon neutrality has typical spatial dependence characteristics. In the low-to-medium-high spatial lag state, it has a positive radiation-driven effect on the neighborhood environment, and the radiation-driven effect is proportional to the spatial gap. (3) In the future, the rice ecosystem needs to make further efforts in the four aspects of carbon reduction and carbon control, ecological sink increase, regional cooperation, and transaction income generation, and fully coordinate the relationship between the agricultural carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals, food security and farmers′ income increase. It can help the process of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality to some extent.


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