长江流域资源与环境 >> 2014, Vol. 23 >> Issue (s): 159-.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj2014Z1022

• 自然灾害 • 上一篇    下一篇

嘉陵江流域极端降水变化及其对水文过程影响的初步研究

曾小凡 ,叶 磊 ,翟建青 ,赵 娜   

  1. (1华中科技大学水电与数字化工程学院,湖北 武汉 430074; 2中国气象局气候变化中心,北京 100081
  • 出版日期:2014-11-26

#br# RESEARCH ON CHANGES OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION IN THE JIALINGJIANG RIVER BASIN AND ITS POTENTIAL #br# IMPACTS ON HYDROLOGICAL PROCESS

ZENG Xiaofan1,YE Lei1,ZHAI Jianqing2,ZHAO Na1   

  1. (1School of Hydropower & Information Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China; 2Climate Change Centre, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China
  • Online:2014-11-26

摘要:

以嘉陵江流域为研究区,利用流域1961~2010年实测逐日降水数据和北碚水文站逐日流量数据,对流域典型极端降水指标和水文指标进行了时空演变分析,并探讨了流域不同空间区域的降水与水文过程的相关关系。研究表明,嘉陵江流域北碚水文站流量与流域不同区域降水具有良好的相关性,典型极端水文指标与极端降水指标的变化趋势基本一致。1961~2010年,在嘉陵江流域年降水量和北碚水文站年平均流量均呈现减少的背景下,流域内表征暴雨事件的极端降水指标和表征洪水过程的极端水文指标以减少趋势为主,而表征干旱事件及低水过程的极端降水与水文指标则呈一定的增加趋势,特别是年内无雨日数显著增加

Abstract:

 Based on daily observed precipitations and daily measured discharges at Beibei hydrological station during 1961-2010 in the Jialingjiang River basin, temporal and spatial changes of some typical extreme precipitation indices and hydrological indices were analyzed in this research, and the potential relationships between precipitations in different regions and hydrological process at the outlet controlling station were discussed The results showed that river discharges at Beibei hydrological station had very good relationships with regional precipitations in the Jialingjiang River basin, and the changing trends of typical extreme hydrological indices were similar to the corresponding extreme precipitation indices During 1961-2010, annual precipitations in the whole basin and annual discharges at Beibei hydrological station showed decreasing trends Under this background, the extreme precipitation indices and extreme hydrological indices, which represent rainstorm events and floods respectively, were mostly decreasing At the same time, the extreme precipitation indices and extreme hydrological indices, which represent drought events and low discharges respectively, showed a certain increasing trends, especially the precipitation index representing for days having no rain in one year increased significantly in recent decades

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