长江流域资源与环境 >> 2023, Vol. 32 >> Issue (5): 1018-1029.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202305012

• 生态环境 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江中游城市群土地利用变化对PM2.5污染的影响及空间溢出效应

何利杰1,杜梦晴1,韦晶2,万庆3,何培培4,王伦澈5*    

  1. (1. 华中农业大学公共管理学院,湖北 武汉 430000;2.马里兰大学大气与海洋科学系,美国 大学公园市 20742;3.武汉工程大学管理学院,湖北 武汉 430205;4.华北水利水电大学测绘与地理信息学院, 河南 郑州 450045;5.中国地质大学地理与信息工程学院,湖北 武汉 430070)

  • 出版日期:2023-05-20 发布日期:2023-05-19

Impact of Land Use Change on PM2.5 Pollution and Its Spatial Spillover  Effect in Urban Agglomerations in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River

HE Li-jie1, DU Meng-qing1, WEI Jing2, WAN Qing3, HE Pei-pei4, WANG Lun-che5   

  1. (1. College of Public Administration, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430000, China; 2. Department of Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences, University of Maryland, University Park 20742, United States; 3. School of Public Administration and Human Geography, Hunan University of Technology and Business, Changsha 410205, China; 4. College of Surveying,
     Mapping and Geographic Information, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou 450045, 
    China;5.School of Geography and Information Engineering, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430070, China)
  • Online:2023-05-20 Published:2023-05-19

摘要: 城市群已成为当今中国空气污染的重灾区,严重损害了区域生态环境与人体健康,但少有研究考虑如何通过优化土地利用结构,使大气环境的自然净化能力最大化,进而减少既定污染排放对空气质量的负面效应。鉴于此,以城市化进程迅速、空气污染严重的长江中游城市群为实证对象,从土地利用结构的视角出发,利用自主反演的高精度PM2.5数据,基于广义可加模型与空间回归模型,揭示2005~2020年土地利用变化对PM2.5浓度的非线性影响及其空间溢出效应。研究结果表明:(1)2005~2020年长江中游城市群建设用地大幅增加而耕地持续减少,PM2.5浓度在2011年前后呈现先上升后下降趋势,并具有显著的空间自相关性;(2)土地利用变化对PM2.5浓度的影响为复杂的非线性关系,其中建设用地与耕地变化对PM2.5浓度的影响存在边际递减效应;(3)土地利用变化对PM2.5浓度的影响存在显著的空间溢出效应,且除草地外,各地类对PM2.5浓度影响的直接效应均大于间接效应;(4)林地与草地有效削减了区域内部及邻域的PM2.5浓度,且林地的直接削减效应远高于草地,相反地,建设用地则显著加剧了区域内部及邻域的PM2.5浓度,而耕地对PM2.5浓度的影响机制较复杂,削减了区域内部的PM2.5浓度,但对邻域PM2.5浓度具有加重作用。研究成果可为中国城市群雾霾治理提供新思路。

Abstract: Urban agglomerations have become the hardest-hit areas of air pollution in China today, seriously damaging the regional ecological environment and human health. However, few existing studies have considered how to optimize the land use structure to maximize the natural purification capacity of the atmospheric environment, thereby reducing the established pollution. In view of this, this study takes the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River with rapid urbanization and serious air pollution as the empirical object. From the perspective of land use structure, using the high-precision PM2.5 data retrieved independently, based on the generalized additive model and spatial regression model, this study reveals the nonlinear impact of land use change on PM2.5 pollution and its spatial spillover effect from 2005 to 2020. The research results show that: (1) From 2005 to 2020, the construction land in the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River increased significantly, while the cultivated land continued to decrease. The PM2.5 pollution increased before 2011 and then decreased, and there was a significant spatial autocorrelation. (2) The impact of land use change on PM2.5 pollution is a complex nonlinear relationship, in which the impact of construction land and cultivated land changes on PM2.5 pollution has a marginal decreasing effect. (3) The impact of land use change on PM2.5 pollution has significant spatial spillover effects, and except for grasslands, the direct effects of landcover on PM2.5 pollution are greater than the indirect effects. (4) Forest land and grassland effectively reduced PM2.5 pollution in the region and its neighborhood, and the direct effect of forest land was much higher than that of grassland. On the contrary, construction land significantly increased the PM2.5 pollution in the region and its neighborhood. However, the impact mechanism of cultivated land on PM2.5 pollution is complicated, reducing PM2.5 pollution within the region, but aggravating the neighboring PM2.5 pollution. The research results help to provide new ideas for the prevention and control of air pollution in China′s urban agglomerations.

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