长江流域资源与环境 >> 2021, Vol. 30 >> Issue (7): 1757-1767.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202107022

• 农业发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

湖北省耕地利用转型对农民增收的空间溢出效应研究

卢新海1,2,王慧1* ,唐一峰1,姜旭1   

  1. (1.华中科技大学公共管理学院,湖北 武汉 430074; 2.华中师范大学公共管理学院,湖北 武汉 430079)
  • 出版日期:2021-07-20 发布日期:2021-08-03

Study on the Spatial Spillover Effect of the Transformation of Farmland Utilization on Farmers’ Income in Hubei Province

LU Xin-hai 1,2 ,WANG Hui 1,TANG Yi-feng 1, JIANG Xu 1   

  1.  (1.School of Public Administration, Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074,China; 2.School of Public Administration, Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,China)
  • Online:2021-07-20 Published:2021-08-03

摘要: 基于2005~2017年湖北省74个县域面板数据,构建基于交通权重的空间权重矩阵,利用空间杜宾模型,实证研究耕地利用转型影响农民增收的空间溢出效应,并进一步揭示该溢出效应呈现的具体规律与特征。研究表明:(1)耕地利用转型各形态和农民收入水平都具有显著的正向空间自相关性;(2)农民收入水平的空间自回归系数ρ为0.65,表明相邻县域农民增收存在正向空间溢出效应,即本县域农民收入增长1%,相邻县域农民收入将会增长0.65%;(3)相邻县域间的空间溢出效应主要靠耕地数量、农业劳动力和基础设施投入形态变化驱动,其中,农业劳动力形态变化产生的空间溢出效应占总效应的69%,耕地数量形态占15%,基础设施投入形态占12%。因此,应注意提升县域间耕地利用系统协同性,利用其空间溢出效应促进湖北省各县域共同发展、农民收入协同提高。

Abstract: Based on the panel data of 74 counties in Hubei Province from 2005 to 2017, construct a spatial weight matrix based on traffic weight, use the spatial Dubin model to empirically study the spatial spillover effect of the transformation of cultivated land use on farmers’ income, and further reveal the specific laws and characteristics of the spillover effect. Research results: (1) All forms of cultivated land use transformation and farmers' income levels have significant positive spatial autocorrelation. (2) The spatial autoregressive coefficient of farmers' income level is 0.65, indicating that there is a positive spatial spillover effect in the increase of farmers' income in neighboring counties, that is, farmers' income in this county will increase by 1%, and farmers' income in neighboring counties will increase by 0.65%. (3) Spatial spillover effects between neighboring counties are mainly driven by changes in the amount of cultivated land, agricultural labor and infrastructure input patterns. Among them,
the spatial spillover effects caused by changes in agricultural labor input patterns account for 69% of the total positive effects. The amount of cultivated land accounted for 15%, and the form of infrastructure investment accoullted for 12%. Research conclusion: Attention should be paid to improving the synergy of the farmland utilization system between counties, and using its spillover effect to promote the common development of all counties in Hubei Province and the synergistic increase of farmers' income.

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