长江流域资源与环境 >> 2021, Vol. 30 >> Issue (4): 827-838.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj202104006

• 自然资源 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江经济带居民生活用水的重心移动与驱动效应研究

赵存学1,邓建高1* ,张陈俊 1,张宗勇 2   

  1. (1.河海大学商学院,江苏 常州 236500;2.南方科技大学环境科学与工程学院,广东 深圳 518000)
  • 出版日期:2021-04-20 发布日期:2021-05-17

Study on the Center of Gravity Movement and Driving Effect of Residents’ Domestic Water Use in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

ZHAO Cun-xue 1, DENG Jian-gao 1, ZHANG Chen-jun 1, ZHANG Zong-yong 2   

  1. (1. School of Business, Hohai University, Changzhou 236500, China;2. School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518000, China)
  • Online:2021-04-20 Published:2021-05-17

摘要: 核算居民生活用水、厘清时空格局演变动因、量化时空差异驱动效应对提高长江经济带居民生活用水的有效利用举足轻重。通过核算城乡居民生活用水,建立重心模型,并利用LMDI从时空上将居民生活用水分解为消费强度效应、人均消费效应、城镇化效应和人口规模效应。结果表明:(1)城乡居民生活用水分别呈增加和减少态势,前者上游较中下游少,后者上中下游较为均衡。(2)城乡居民生活用水重心向西北方向移动,分别由咸宁和岳阳移至荆州,两者的非均衡程度分别呈现增加和减小的趋势,且前者大于后者,该过程中上游和下游省市发挥作用较为明显。(3)城乡消费用水强度和人均消费水平分别是促进和抑制居民生活用水减少的主要因素,城镇化和人口增长会导致居民生活用水量的增加,城乡人口比重变化的作用具有异质性。(4)在缩小与平均水平的差异上,无论从总体视角还是城乡视角,消费用水强度和人均消费水平均呈现相反作用,城镇化具有空间异质性。据此,提出关注居民消费对居民生活用水的影响、完善用水定额等建议,并指出需要进一步减小核算误差,深入探索家庭、行为、性别等因素对居民生活用水的影响。

Abstract: Accounting for residents’ domestic water use, clarifying the dynamics of the evolution of spatial-temporal patterns, and quantifying the driving effects of spatial-temporal differences are important to improve the efficiency of residents’ domestic water use in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. By calculating urban and rural residents’ domestic water consumption, a center of gravity model is established, and LMDI is used to decompose residents’ domestic water into consumption intensity effect, per capita consumption effect, urbanization effect, and population scale effect from time and space. The results show that: (1) The urban and rural residents’ domestic water consumption is increasing and decreasing respectively, the former has less upstream than the middle and lower reaches, and the latter has more balanced upstream, middle and lower reaches. (2) The center of gravity of domestic water use of urban and rural residents moves to the northwest, from Xianning and Yueyang to Jingzhou respectively. The imbalance between the two shows an increasing and decreasing trend respectively, and the former is greater than the latter. In this process, the upstream and downstream provinces and cities play a significant role. (3) The intensity of urban and rural consumption water consumption and per capita consumption level are the main factors that promote and inhibit the reduction of residents ’domestic water consumption. Urbanization and population growth will lead to an increase in residents’ domestic water consumption. The effect of changes in the proportion of urban and rural population is heterogeneous. (4) In terms of narrowing the difference with the average level, regardless of the overall perspective or the urban-rural perspective, consumption water intensity and per capita consumption level have opposite effects, and urbanization has spatial heterogeneity. Based on this, it puts forward suggestions on paying attention to the impact of residents’ consumption on residents’ domestic water consumption and improving water consumption quotas, and points out that it is necessary to further reduce accounting errors and further explore the impact of household, behavior, gender and other factors on residents’ domestic water consumption.

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