长江流域资源与环境 >> 2016, Vol. 25 >> Issue (05): 715-724.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201605004
张宇1,2, 曹卫东1, 梁双波2, 胡燕燕1
ZHANG Yu1,2, CAO Wei-dong1, LIANG Shuang-bo2, HU Yan-yan1
摘要: 在"一带一路"战略背景下,推动长江经济带发展是中国一项重大区域发展战略,全面把握其城镇化发展规律对于统筹谋划整个区域经济发展具有重要意义。选取2000~2013年长江经济带城镇常住人口、城镇建成区面积、二三产业增加值作为城镇化扩张指标,通过构建耦合协调模型,对其上中下游地区的人口城镇化、空间城镇化、产业城镇化耦合协调时空演化格局进行系统研究。研究表明:在时间维度上,长江经济带各地区城镇化耦合度整体呈上升趋势,但地区间耦合协调性差异特征依然存在,其上游城镇化耦合协调度波动最剧烈。长江经济带各地区"人口-空间"城镇化耦合协调度普遍滞后于"空间-产业"城镇化耦合协调度,空间城镇化快于人口城镇化过程,人口城镇化、空间城镇化、产业城镇化的协调性有待优化。在空间维度上,长江经济带各地区的"人口-产业"城镇化、"人口-空间"城镇化和"空间-产业"城镇化耦合协调性存在空间分异现象,总体呈东高西低态势。
中图分类号:
[1] BRÜCKNER M. Economic growth, size of the agricultural sector, and urbanization in Africa[J]. Journal of Urban Economics, 2012, 71(1):26-36. [2] KIM D S, MIZUNO K, KOBAYASHI S. Modeling urbanization by accessibility in rapid-growth areas[J]. Journal of Urban Planning and Development, 2003, 129(1):45-63. [3] MURAKAMIA A, ZAIN A M, TAKEUCHI K, et al. Trends in urbanization and patterns of land use in the Asian mega cities Jakarta, Bangkok, and Metro Manila[J]. Landscape and Urban Planning, 2005, 70(3/4):251-259. [4] MALAQUE Ⅲ I R, YOKOHARI M. Urbanization process and the changing agricultural landscape pattern in the urban fringe of Metro Manila, Philippines[J]. Environment and Urbanization, 2007, 19(1):191-206. [5] NAGY R C, LOCKABY B G. Urbanization in the southeastern United States:socioeconomic forces and ecological responses along an urban-rural gradient[J]. Urban Ecosystems, 2011, 14(1):71-86. [6] ANDERSSON R, QUIGLEY J M, WILHELMSSON M. Urbanization, productivity, and innovation:evidence from investment in higher education[J]. Journal of Urban Economies, 2009, 66(1):2-15. [7] KIM S. Industrialization and urbanization:did the steam engine contribute to the growth of cities in the United States?[J]. Explorations in Economic History, 2005, 42(4):586-598. [8] NUNN N, QIAN N. The potato's contribution to population and urbanization:evidence from a historical experiment[J]. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2011, 126(2):593-650. [9] YUKI K. Urbanization, informal sector, and development[J]. Journal of Development Economics, 2007, 84(1):76-113. [10] FENG J M, WANG Y L, MA Z G, et al. Simulating the regional impacts of urbanization and anthropogenic heat release on climate across China[J]. Journal of Climate, 2012, 25(20):7187-7203. [11] SATO Y, YAMAMOTO K. Population concentration, urbanization, and demographic transition[J]. Journal of Urban Economics, 2005, 58(1):45-61. [12] STEINHOFF A J. Nineteenth-century urbanization as sacred process:insights from German Strasbourg[J]. Journal of Urban History, 2011, 37(6):829-841. [13] 周彦国, 钱振水, 王娜. "新型城镇化"的概念与特征解读[J]. 规划师, 2013(S2):5-7. [ZHOU Y G, QIAN Z S, WANG N. Concept and characteristic of new-type urbanization[J]. Planners, 2013(S2):5-7.] [14] ZHOU Y X, MA L J C. China's urban population statistics:A critical evaluation[J]. Eurasian Geography and Economics, 2005, 46(4):272-289. [15] 魏冶, 修春亮, 孙平军. 21世纪以来中国城镇化动力机制分析[J]. 地理研究, 2013, 32(9):1679-1687. [WEI Y, XIU C L, SUN P J. Dynamic mechanism of urbanization in China since 2000[J]. Geographical Research, 2013, 32(9):1679-1687.] [16] 刘世薇, 张平宇, 李静. 黑龙江垦区城镇化动力机制分析[J]. 地理研究, 2013, 32(11):2066-2078. [LIU S W, ZHANG P Y, LI J. Analyzing the urbanization driving force in Heilongjiang reclamation areas[J]. Geographical Research, 2013, 32(11):2066-2078.] [17] 陆大道, 宋林飞, 任平. 中国城镇化发展模式:如何走向科学发展之路[J]. 苏州大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2007, 28(2):1-7. [LU D D, SONG L F, REN P. Science development and China's approach to urbanization[J]. Academic Journal of Suzhou University (Philosophy and Social Science), 2007, 28(2):1-7.] [18] 张翼. 农民工"进城落户"意愿与中国近期城镇化道路的选择[J]. 中国人口科学, 2011(2):14-26. [ZHANG Y. Migrant workers' willing of Hukou register and policy choice of China urbanization[J]. Chinese Journal of Population Science, 2011(2):14-26.] [19] 陆杰华, 韩承明. 论小城镇与我国的城镇化发展道路[J]. 中国特色社会主义研究, 2013, 1(1):98-104. [20] 朱宇. 城镇化的新形式与中国的人口城镇化政策[J]. 人文地理, 2006, 21(2):115-118,128. [ZHU Y. New forms of urbanization and China's urbanization policies[J]. Human Geography, 2006, 21(2):115-118, 128.] [21] 周才云, 张毓卿. 中国新型城镇化建设的动因、困境与对策[J]. 经济问题探索, 2014(3):49-53. [22] 顾朝林, 吴莉娅. 中国城市化问题研究综述(Ⅱ)[J]. 城市与区域规划研究, 2008, 1(3):100-163. [GU C L, WU L Y. Studies of China's urbanization (Ⅱ)[J]. Journal of Urban and Regional Planning, 2008, 1(3):100-163.] [23] 陈明星. 城市化领域的研究进展和科学问题[J]. 地理研究, 2015, 34(4):614-630. [CHEN M X. Research progress and scientific issues in the field of urbanization[J]. Geographical Research, 2015, 34(4):614-630.] [24] 戴为民.国内外城市化问题研究综述[J].特区经济,2007(5):266-268. [DAI W M. Summary of China and foreigner countries urbanization problem research[J]. Special Zone Economy, 2007(5):266-268.] [25] 陆大道,姚士谋.中国城镇化进程的科学思辨[J].人文地理,2007,22(4):1-5,26. [LU D D, YAO S M. A scientific thought about urbanization progress in China[J]. Human Geography, 2007, 22(4):1-5, 26.] [26] 陈凤桂, 张虹鸥, 吴旗韬, 等. 我国人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调发展研究[J]. 人文地理, 2010, 25(5):53-58. [CHEN F G, ZHANG H O, WU Q T, et al. A study on coordinate development between population urbanization and land urbanization in China[J]. Human Geography, 2010, 25(5):53-58.] [27] 潘爱民, 刘友金. 湘江流域人口城镇化与土地城镇化失调程度及特征研究[J]. 经济地理, 2014, 34(5):63-68. [PAN A M, LIU Y J. The degree of imbalance between population urbanization and land urbanization of Xiangjiang River basin[J]. Economic Geography, 2014, 34(5):63-68.] [28] 王亚力, 彭保发, 熊建新, 等. 2001年以来环洞庭湖区经济城镇化与人口城镇化进程的对比研究[J]. 地理科学, 2014, 34(1):67-75. [WANG Y L, PENG B F, XIONG J X, et al. The economy urbanization and population urbanization of Dongting Lake area in China since 2001[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2014, 34(1):67-75.] [29] FISCHER G, SUN L X. Model based analysis of future land-use development in China[J]. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 2001, 85(1-3):163-176. [30] QUAN B, CHEN J F, QIU H L, et al. Spatial-temporal pattern and driving forces of land use changes in Xiamen. Pedosphere, 2006, 16(4):477-488. [31] 李刚, 魏佩瑶. 中国工业化与城镇化协调关系研究[J]. 经济问题探索, 2013(5):72-79. [32] 朱海玲, 龚曙明. 中国工业化与城镇化联动和互动的研究[J]. 统计与决策, 2010(13):112-114. [ZHU H L, GONG S M. Research on the linkage and interaction between industrialization and urbanization in China[J]. Statistics & Decision, 2010(13):112-114.] [33] ILLINGWORTH V. Penguin dictionary of physics[M]. Beijing:Penguin Books Ltd, 2009. [34] 孙东琪, 张京祥, 张明斗, 等. 长江三角洲城市化效率与经济发展水平的耦合关系[J]. 地理科学进展, 2013, 32(7):1060-1071. [SUN D Q, ZHANG J X, ZHANG M D, et al. Coupling relationship between urbanization efficiency and economic development level in the Yangtze River Delta[J]. Progress in Geography, 2013, 32(7):1060-1071.] [35] 刘定惠, 杨永春. 区域经济-旅游-生态环境耦合协调度研究——以安徽省为例[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2011, 20(7):892-896. [LIU D H, YANG Y C. Coupling coordinative degree of regional economy-tourism-ecological environment——A case study of Anhui province[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2011, 20(7):892-896.] [36] 赵媛, 沈璐. 江苏省能源与经济系统协调发展评价[J]. 地理科学, 2012, 32(5):557-561. [ZHAO Y, SHEN L. Evaluation in coordinative development among energy and economy of Jiangsu province[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2012, 32(5):557-561.] [37] 马丽, 金凤君, 刘毅. 中国经济与环境污染耦合度格局及工业结构解析[J]. 地理学报, 2012, 67(10):1299-1307. [MA L, JIN F J, LIU Y. Spatial pattern and industrial sector structure analysis on the coupling and coordinating degree of regional economic development and environmental pollution in China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2012, 67(10):1299-1307.] [38] 胡喜生, 洪伟, 吴承祯. 福州市土地生态系统服务与城市化耦合度分析[J]. 地理科学, 2013, 33(10):1216-1223. [HU X S, HONG W, WU C Z. Coupling degrees of land ecosystem services and urbanization of Fuzhou city[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2013, 33(10):1216-1223.] [39] 杨忍, 刘彦随, 龙花楼. 中国环渤海地区人口-土地-产业非农化转型协同演化特征[J]. 地理研究, 2015, 34(3):475-486. [YANG R, LIU Y S, LONG H L. The study on non-agricultural transformation co-evolution characteristics of "population-land-industry":Case study of the Bohai Rim in China[J]. Geographical Research, 2015, 34(3):475-486.] [40] 张荣天, 焦华富. 泛长江三角洲地区经济发展与生态环境耦合协调关系分析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2015, 24(5):719-727. [ZHANG R T, JIAO H F. Coupling and coordinating between economic development and ecological environment in the pan Yangtze River delta[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2015, 24(5):719-727.] |
[1] | 刘云强, 权 泉, 朱佳玲, 王 芳. 绿色技术创新、产业集聚与生态效率——以长江经济带城市群为例[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2018, 27(11): 2395-2406. |
[2] | 王丰龙, 曾刚, 叶琴, 陈弘挺. 基于创新合作联系的城市网络格局分析——以长江经济带为例[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2017, 26(06): 797-805. |
[3] | 武晓静, 杜德斌, 肖刚, 管明明. 长江经济带城市创新能力差异的时空格局演变[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2017, 26(04): 490-499. |
[4] | 成定平, 淦苏美. 长江经济带高技术产业投入产出效率分析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2017, 26(03): 325-332. |
[5] | 周峰, 吕慧华, 许有鹏. 城镇化下平原水系变化及河网连通性影响研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2017, 26(03): 402-409. |
[6] | 徐小任, 徐勇. 长江经济带后备适宜建设用地潜力[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2016, 25(12): 1789-1796. |
[7] | 李嬛, 宁越敏, 魏也华, 陈斐然. 长江经济带沿江城市群空间分布格局与联动机理研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2016, 25(12): 1797-1806. |
[8] | 郭庆宾, 刘琪, 张冰倩. 环境规制是否抑制了国际R&D溢出效应——以长江经济带为例[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2016, 25(12): 1807-1814. |
[9] | 刘传江, 赵晓梦. 长江经济带全要素碳生产率的时空演化及提升潜力[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2016, 25(11): 1635-1644. |
[10] | 陈春, 于立, 张锐杰, 沈昊婧. 中国城镇化加速阶段中期土地城镇化与人口城镇化的协调程度[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2016, 25(11): 1654-1662. |
[11] | 刘玮辰, 陆玉麒, 文玉钊. 长江经济带城市对外服务能力时空演变分析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2016, 25(10): 1475-1483. |
[12] | 傅钰, 钟业喜, 冯兴华. 长江经济带陆路交通可达性格局演变研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2016, 25(10): 1484-1491. |
[13] | 任俊霖, 李浩, 伍新木, 李雪松. 基于主成分分析法的长江经济带省会城市水生态文明评价[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2016, 25(10): 1537-1544. |
[14] | 宓泽锋, 曾刚, 尚勇敏, 陈弘挺, 朱菲菲, 陈斐然. 长江经济带市域生态文明建设现状及发展潜力初探[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2016, 25(09): 1438-1447. |
[15] | 丁军, 黄茹, 吕拉昌. 基于专利授权数的长江经济带创新差异的多尺度分析[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2016, 25(06): 868-876. |
|