长江流域资源与环境 >> 2019, Vol. 28 >> Issue (03): 493-504.doi: 10.11870/cjlyzyyhj201903001

• 区域可持续发展 •    下一篇

长江经济带生态—经济—社会系统协调发展时空分异及驱动机制

江孝君1,2,杨青山1,2* ,耿清格1,2,王小艳3,刘  鉴1,2   

  1.  (1. 东北师范大学地理科学学院,吉林 长春 130024; 2. 东北师范大学城镇化与区域发展研究中心,吉林 长春 130024;3. 秦皇岛市第十九中学,河北 秦皇岛 066000)
  • 出版日期:2019-03-20 发布日期:2019-03-22

Spatial-temporal Differentiation and Driving Mechanism of Coordinated Development of Ecological-Economic-Society Systems in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

JIANG Xiao-jun 1,2 , YANG Qing-shan 1,2 , GENG Qing-ge 1,2,WANG Xiao-yan 3,  LIU Jian 1,2   

  1. (1.School of Geographical Science, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China; 2.Research Center of Urbanization and Regional Development, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China; Nineteenth Middle School of Qinhuangdao,Qinhuangdao 066000, China)
  • Online:2019-03-20 Published:2019-03-22

摘要: 推动生态—经济—社会(EES)系统协调发展是长江经济带发展战略的核心需求,通过构建EES系统协调评价指标体系,运用协调发展、ESDA和面板数据模型,测度分析了2000~2016年长江经济带地级以上行政单元EES系统协调发展的时空分异特征及驱动机制。结果表明:(1)EES系统协调发展呈上升趋势且区域差异逐渐缩小,但整体发展水平较低,中度失调型占据发展类型主体,空间上形成“东北高、西南低”的发展格局,高协调区位于长三角及中西部省会等核心城市;(2)EES系统协调发展呈“等级化”特征,协调度由高到低呈“金字塔”型分布,呈“集群化”特征,城市群内城市协调度整体较高;协调度区域差异特征显著,下游优于中上游,沿江城市优于非沿江城市;(3)EES系统协调发展呈现较强的正向空间自相关,热点区域H-H型集中,冷点区域L-L型较多,局域关联与冷热点空间格局总体表现出沿海优于内陆、下游优于中上游的分异特征;(4)EES系统协调发展时空格局是EES子系统发展、自然区位、战略与政策、空间邻近效应等因素综合驱动形成的结果。

Abstract: Promoting the coordinated development of the Ecological-Economic-Society (EES) system is the core requirement of the development strategy of the Yangtze River Economic Belt. By constructing a EES system coordination evaluation index, and by using coordinated development, ESDA and panel data models, the spatial and temporal differentiation characteristics and driving mechanisms of the coordinated development of the EES system above the prefecture level in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2000 to 2016 were measured and analyzed. The results show that: (1) The coordinated development of EES system is on the rise and the regional differences are gradually narrowing, but the overall development level is low; the Moderately dysfunctional type occupies the main body of development type; the development pattern of “northeast high and southwest low” is formed in the space, and the high-coordination zone is located in the core cities such as the Yangtze River Delta and the provincial capital of the central and western regions.(2) The coordinated development of EES system is hierarchical, the coordination degree is a pyramid type distribution from high to low, showing “clustering” characteristics, the degree of urban coordination in urban agglomeration is higher overall; the regional difference characteristics of coordination degree are significant, the downstream is more developed than the middle and upper reaches, and the cities along the river are better than the non-river cities. (3) The coordinated development of EES system presents strong positive spatial autocorrelation, H-H type is concentrated in the hot spot area, and the L-L type is more distributed in the cold spot area.; The local area correlation and cold hot spot space pattern generally shows that the coastal area is superior to inland, the downstream is more developed than the middle and upper reaches.(4) The spatial and temporal pattern of coordinated development of the EES system are driven by various factors, including the development of EES subsystems, geographic location, strategy and policy, spatial proximity effect, and so on.

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